Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
I do like it when otherwise quite serious people break from their carefully studied analysis and start going like "God, I fucking hate that guy, he's such a clown." Very nice to see thinkers and authors in the West who don't have weird brainworms where they have to both-sides everything, and they just outwardly say that NATO is the imperialist force against Russia and resistance against Israel is perfectly justified. With these kinds of white academics, I'm increasingly hating having to go through the five-minute tedium of "What Hamas did was atrocious. Worst thing I've ever seen. Nobody is justifying that, I'm not justifying it. It was horrific, it was atrocious, over a thousand people were killed..." and the same thing with Russia, before they actually get to talking about the genocide which has killed hundreds of thousands of people in one of the most brutal ways possible. Very glad to see that Gabriel doesn't see any need to do that song and dance.
I'm also getting very tired of the two poles of the argument being "Palestine/the Resistance is being destroyed and that's good" in the imperialist West and "Palestine/the Resistance is being destroyed and that's bad" among the left-wing Western intelligentsia. It tends to be people actually in the Middle East who have been studying the situation in-depth for decades who are like "Many people are dying but the Resistance is winning, actually." Like Amal Saad, for example. They don't ignore the problems that the Resistance faces, but they're actually observing Palestine and Lebanon and Yemen and Syria and Iraq fighting back and including that in their analysis and predictions, rather than the very meek, semi-defeatist words that are coming out of several Western thinkers where they never even seem to mention the Resistance as a serious entity, they only talk about the civilian casualties and talking about the failing diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Which is better than not doing that at all, as most Western media doesn't, but there should be higher standards.
The talk itself was good too, of course. I liked the part where he's talking about Stalin and how what he did makes a lot of sense in the context he was dealing with (every developed country on the planet fucking HATING the USSR and wishing for its immediate destruction, and Russia being a feudal backwater that needed to do in 10 years what Europe and America did in 100, with all the massive problems that causes). And that it's bad history, bad politics, and bad analysis to remove Stalin from that context and judge him as if he was in a situation where there were no threats at all and everything was sunshine and rainbows, and he was just an evil authoritarian who liked causing suffering.
Having moral judgements about historical events is fine, but only once there's a good understanding of what the actual conditions were and what constraints people and parties were under that would have prevented them from acting perfectly and with perfect information. We should deal with hypotheticals as little as possible in that regard, only offering genuinely practical advice. No "well, China shouldn't have reformed and opened up under Deng because it would have kept the communist project purer despite all the hardship," we should try and understand why Deng and the party did what it did, what successes they had, what errors they made, and learn and improve on it. A philosophy of genuinely trying to learn and improve will help prepare us for the mistakes - BIG mistakes! - that Western left parties will inevitably make (just as Mao and Stalin made big mistakes) as the imperial core weakens over the coming decades.