Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • xiaohongshu [none/use name]
    ·
    edit-2
    5 hours ago

    I mean the currency itself is an asset for the trade surplus country, it can sell it for other currencies too depending on the liquidity of forex markets. i don't think unbalanced trade is that bad either, smaller countries with less resources will run trade deficits when being helped out by larger neighbors. (Like Cuba and USSR). Of course, under capitalism the purpose of trade is for the exporting country to earn foreign currencies and dump excess supply, but that doesn't have to be the case.

    The problem here is that nobody wants to accumulate a currency that they cannot use, and this most often means the poorer, weaker countries.

    Let’s take Russia and India for example. Russia has accumulated a huge surplus of Indian rupees since the Ukraine war by selling cheap oil to India, but it soon ran into the problem of not being able to spend them because India no longer has anything else that Russia wants.

    What should Russia do with the extra rupees? You can say, why not use them to buy yuan?

    But there are two problems here: first, Russia is already running a trade surplus with China (China export to Russia in 2023 was $111B while its import from Russia was $129B). In other words, Russia already has more yuan than it can spend, so there is no reason for it to buy more yuan on the forex market.

    On the other hand, it is worth remembering that the US dollar is the most desirable currency (the global reserve currency) and you can use it to buy pretty much anything from anyone, but with yuan you can only buy from China.

    The second problem is that China is itself running a huge trade surplus against the US and Europe, which means that there is less yuan in circulation around the world, so buying them on the forex market is nowhere near as easy as buying the vastly more liquid US dollar.

    There is a reason why the US dollar is the most desirable and convenient asset for most of the world, because everyone wants a piece of it, so you can find it anywhere, and use it to buy anything. No need to worry about not being able to spend the money in the future.

    So, to accumulate a currency that your country cannot use means that an x amount of your country’s labor and resources are spent to produce real goods and services for another country to enjoy, but you earn back something that you cannot spend - i.e. not something your own citizens can enjoy. Put it another way: your own labor worked harder to provide for another country for free and get nothing in return. In this case, that x amount of labor and resources would be better spent at building domestic economy, since the whole point of foreign trade is to get things you cannot produce at home.

    The only reason you’d want to do that is because of ideological alignment, or strategic/geopolitical interests, which is exactly what happened in the case of Cuba and USSR that you raised. Beyond that, it means a waste of labor and resources that could have been utilized to improve domestic economy.

    In other words, as the linked commentary suggested, only a bancor-like mechanism would solve this trade imbalance problem, but we come to another problem here: bancor mechanism would punish countries with huge trade imbalances - in this case: US and China. US as a huge net importer would no longer be able to abuse its financial power and get “free lunches” across the world anymore, but China as a huge net exporter would also have to redistribute its productive capacity to the developing world.

    Clearly, neither the US and China wants to give up the privileges of this specific economic arrangement that they have enjoyed since the normalization of US-China relations back in the 1970s. And because the US and China are the two great economies that matter (sorry to the other countries, but that’s the truth), we’d have to wait until a complete breakdown in the US-China relationship for this to happen. But if we truly were to get to that point, it might have been too late for the world already.

    • newacctidk [none/use name]
      ·
      2 hours ago

      You explained this shit better than anyone ever has. I am still like 40% confused, but I feel like I am getting the broadstrokes of currency