• RedWizard [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    1 month ago

    What are the chances it becomes split into East and West Ukraine? A kind of reboot of history in our new modern context.

    • Sinister [none/use name, comrade/them]B
      ·
      1 month ago

      East Ukraine will just be russia. While the west becomes a neo-colony of poland/usa. Idk if Romania or Hungary also wanna take some land, possible, but are pinecones and potato’s really worth it? Annexing those lands are a drain on the resources of romania/slovakia or hungary.

      • RomCom1989 [he/him, any]
        ·
        1 month ago

        If Russia takes Odessa, maybe I can see Moldova taking the Bugeac (Area between the Danube and Dniester) as some sorta compromise for letting Russia annex Transnistria

        As for the Ukrainian territories in the Western side which have Romanian and Hungarian claims,that's much less likely to happen

        • Sinister [none/use name, comrade/them]B
          ·
          1 month ago

          Really? The area thats full of bulgarians? Does it have a lot of natural resources? Honestly I was thinking that hungary was going to nap the strip of land that they got in the first vienna award.

          • RomCom1989 [he/him, any]
            ·
            edit-2
            1 month ago

            It's a mix of Romanians,Russians and Bulgarians

            It's also historically part of Moldova,plus it would give it sea access and more ports to the Danube

            Carpathian Ruthenia I find to be quite less likely to go to Hungary simply because I think what remains of Ukraine will be centered around Lviv and the western territories

    • TheLastHero [none/use name]
      ·
      1 month ago

      John Mearsheimer made this prediction before the war started and considered a worse case scenario. The two Ukraines would inevitably become militarized like Germany was, only now Russia has no buffer. Cold war on a hair trigger.