• FungiDebord [none/use name]
    ·
    1 month ago

    I thought the humiliation of 2016 should have made him crawl under a rock to hide forever

    Huh? Silver was literally the only "serious" prognosticator who forecasted a possible upset; everyone else thought it was a no contest (Princeton gave it like a 99.5% "Bayesian" prediction for Hillary).

    • UlyssesT
      ·
      edit-2
      9 days ago

      deleted by creator

    • CommunistCuddlefish [she/her]
      ·
      1 month ago

      Am I misremembering? Who was the statistician who predicted a slam dunk for Clinton and then later released a post about why he got it wrong?

      • FungiDebord [none/use name]
        ·
        1 month ago

        it may have the Princeton Consortium guy. i think he said he'd literally eat his shoes, or a pile of bugs or something if he lost -- i'm sure he at least ate rhetorical crow and had to follow up with a mea culpa post.