https://archive.is/9oTJO

  • Parzivus [any]
    ·
    11 hours ago

    Yeah they're hoping for an invasion of Taiwan, they talk a fair bit in the article about the difficulty of naval invasions. Which is like, fair enough, but a hundred miles gap puts Taiwan and any US troops there in range of thousands of Chinese missiles. One imagines that an invasion gets a lot easier after sinking a US carrier group or two.

    That said, I don't see China going for it. Both countries are pretty okay with the status quo or maybe reunification in the coming decades, but very few people want war.

    • Speaker [e/em/eir]
      ·
      6 hours ago

      I expect that reunification will only become more likely when the US appropriates the TSMC foundry in Arizona and leaves Taipei to rot.

    • REgon [they/them]
      ·
      8 hours ago

      I can see a reverse cuban missile crisis playing out, but the US being the US just launching the nukes at some point

      • barrbaric [he/him]
        ·
        7 hours ago

        With modern missile tech is there even any reason to put nuclear missiles in Taiwan? I was under the impression that ICBMs have basically made that pointless. Oh no, the targets will live for 5-10 whole minutes longer during the travel time.

        • Parzivus [any]
          ·
          5 hours ago

          It kinda matters in that there's a chain of command before you can retaliate. Someone has to see the missiles, make sure it's not a malfunction, tell their boss who tells their boss, etc. Ideally your missiles land before the counterattack starts. This is why deploying missiles in eastern Europe was such a big deal to Putin as well.

        • REgon [they/them]
          ·
          7 hours ago

          Uh yeah, lockheed martins quarterly reports needs it. Checkmate commie

          • barrbaric [he/him]
            ·
            7 hours ago

            Pshaw, they can get that money by investing into hypersonic missiles to get that number down from 5-10 minutes to 2-3.

            • REgon [they/them]
              ·
              edit-2
              7 hours ago

              I don't think the US has capacity to make hypersonic missiles though, so that would require the arms manufacturers to actually do some research and improve manufaturing

              • barrbaric [he/him]
                ·
                6 hours ago

                Hmm, you're right, and that wouldn't be very profitable. Perhaps they should see if they can buy the technology from China! i-love-not-thinking