Everyone keeps saying that Biden has it in the bag, but that’s what they said last time for Hillary. I have this weird feeling he’ll somehow worm his way to victory.
Everyone keeps saying that Biden has it in the bag, but that’s what they said last time for Hillary. I have this weird feeling he’ll somehow worm his way to victory.
Hillary was up by +10 at this point 4 years ago. People focus on the final polls, which were adjusted to save face, and not the in-race push polls.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
She had a 90% chance of winning till the Comey Letter came out and she had a 70% chance of winning. She was expected to win the popular vote by like 3.6%, she won by like 2%. That's normal. You can see the predictions by date if you want
Garbage in garbage out. The Comey letter did not change anyone's mind
The polls dipped immediately once it came out. If it made some people cynical and stay home that affects turnout