Top decile probability of death is 55 % over a decade or roughly 0.5 % per month. Thus, biden has 1 month to croak and trumpo has a year to croak, which leads to (1-0.995)*0.95+0.995=...=0.025% chance or 1 in 4000 for both to occur.

https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2020/us-mort-rate-socioeconomic/

(the website data is more interesting than low probability of success)

  • TheLepidopterists [he/him]
    ·
    edit-2
    5 days ago

    Should have posted this horseshit in doomer, you'll never take my hope away (at least until 1/20/25)

    biaoqing-copium

    EDIT: You can pry my

    whywhywhywhywhy jokermala trump-anguish :we-somehow-lack-a-Vance-emoji: from my cold dead hands

    • Infamousblt [any]
      ·
      5 days ago

      The fact that we don't have a Vance emoji speaks volumes about him tbh