Analysis: How Arizona complicates Trump's re-election bid
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Electoral analysts like myself have been pumping up the importance of the Great Lake (Rust Belt) battleground states. The math is pretty easy. Under any reasonable scenario, President Donald Trump needs to win at least Michigan, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin to take the presidency. This assumes he carries North Carolina and Florida, where he is trailing.

Omfg they really are gonna push flipping Arizona again? After that went so poorly for Clinton? It really is 2016 but another layer down in hellworld

  • OhWell [he/him]
    ·
    4 years ago

    If you think that is bad, every 4 years we have to hear about how Texas is supposedly going to turn blue.

    • Blarglefargle [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      I have family in Georgia. Every year they sit there and gleefully tell me how “it’s gonna flip blue one day! Just you wait. “

      • OhWell [he/him]
        1·
        4 years ago

        Same here, I have family there and in Louisiana. Georgia is interesting that Biden actually led there earlier this month and back in 2016, Clinton was tied with Trump there during the summer. Clinton lost that state by less than 5 points.

        Neither Clinton or Biden have stepped foot in Georgia. The Dems don't even bother campaigning in some of these states but expect it to turn blue every 4 years.

        • Blarglefargle [he/him]
          ·
          4 years ago

          Hell Biden is refusing to campaign in Michigan either. I still don’t think they even have a campaign office there. The DNC strategy is always so big brained and stupid

          • OhWell [he/him]
            ·
            4 years ago

            Just like 2016 when Hillary didn't campaign in Wisconsin. She also only visited Florida once and it was only after the Pulse night club shooting. The DNC's strategy is to tell these people fuck you, and that they don't matter to them unless they live in a big city, but vote blue no matter who otherwise you're a terrible person.

            • Balkinbalkans [he/him]
              ·
              4 years ago

              Vote Blue No Matter Who has poisoned the well for what was already a quagmire of political discourse. Do we not care about policy anymore? Does someone's voting record disappear because they have a D next to their name? The Dems are just as culty as the Repubs with the way they expect voters to fall in line and blindly trust in their golden calf.

              • russianattack [he/him]
                1·
                4 years ago

                and if you have any doubts of the D cult just look at how people changed their mind on fracking after biden said he wouldn't eliminate it. this thing people know is bad, suddenly becomes less bad because a D is saying it's not bad

                • Balkinbalkans [he/him]
                  ·
                  4 years ago

                  I'm just as horrified by the people who got fired up by the George Floyd murder and then immediately went soft on cops again when Biden started saying he wasn't going to defund the police.

            • Blarglefargle [he/him]
              ·
              4 years ago

              Obama literally saying this and white assholes I know being like “well where is he wrong?”

          • RION [she/her]
            ·
            4 years ago

            "What do you mean by 'ground game'?"

            The incompetence is almost endearing sometimes