Analysis: How Arizona complicates Trump's re-election bid
apple.news
Electoral analysts like myself have been pumping up the importance of the Great Lake (Rust Belt) battleground states. The math is pretty easy. Under any reasonable scenario, President Donald Trump needs to win at least Michigan, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin to take the presidency. This assumes he carries North Carolina and Florida, where he is trailing.

Omfg they really are gonna push flipping Arizona again? After that went so poorly for Clinton? It really is 2016 but another layer down in hellworld

  • adultswim_antifa [he/him]
    ·
    4 years ago

    Take the black pill. You think Biden will lose because the left hates him. Biden will win because the left doesn't matter. The centrists will rub our faces in it for two years, yet blame us when they lose the house in 2022. We are both irrelevant and the determining factor.

    The electorate is extremely stupid. They are going to vote Trump out because life has gotten worse recently and they want things to go back to normal, and they won't. They don't know why everything sucks and they will never learn. They will blame the incumbent for whatever's happening and vote against incumbents while both parties slide further to the right.

    Unless Biden somehow ends up being the tip of the spear of a change in American politics. But that's not going to happen.

    • Blarglefargle [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      Schrödinger's leftist is a genuine thing. And I’ve accepted that the worst shit will probs happen And that electorism isn’t even ok

      HOWEVER I will still do it for the local elections where I can get a god damn socialist into my city council. Will do it to help form big tent praxis, and to continue what the dude in the AOC post mentioned, where the more people who show actual concern for the poor and downtrodden are in power the more those people realize they have a real say And power in what they do.

      Call me a lib all you want but I’ll do praxis with a soc dem any day if it makes the conditions better. Beats just shitting on here all day (but nothing bear posting all day, nothing beats that)