Have yall never played poker/thrown a dice/anything random? When he says libs can relax its because the ODDS of winning are in his favor, but they are still fucking odds. Trump can still roll a 6 and win. If trump wins a) if he predicted that biden would have won, you'd get angry. b) if he predicted trump would have won, thats a shitty prediction that has little basis in the data and even if he was right nobody would listen to a guy who guessed right by chance!!

Think that i win if a coin lands thrice on heads. It's a 12.5% chance i win. Would you bet for me? No. Would you be surprised if i win? Also no, i still had a chance.

The chances lie in the fact that many ppl will vote on a whim based on how they feel one particular day, and you cant know all the data or how reliable it is. He isnt covering his ass, he is acknowledging that he cannot know with utmost precision. Its not a political/emotional thing, its how math works.

  • AvailableWrongdoer [any]
    1·
    4 years ago

    Even if Trump only had a 1% chance of winning in 2016, that 1% could still very well happen. Things that have a low probability of happening happen all the time.

    • Melon [she/her,they/them]
      ·
      4 years ago

      yeah the other day I was playing fetch with a young family member and the number of times the ball hit something and bounced right back to me was alarming. In one throw, the ball looped around the bowl of a bird bath, bounced off the top of a grill and hit a corner of a shitty fire pit that sent it over a fence and back at my feet.

      but things like that happen all the time