So I just read this paper and needed to talk to someone. You should absolutely read it but essentially, all society, including affluent nations, is going to collapse starting this decade. The article states 20% probability of human extinction before 2100 as one reasonable figure reached by some reputable scientists.
Capitalism and sustainable development and incremental reforms have failed so far and will continue to fail. Organizations, like IPCC have consistently undersold the extent of climate change happening. In fact, the trends we are now experiencing are the worst predictions of the mid-90s. Even now, the view of societal collapse is seen as scaremongering even among scientists but we have reached a stage where we need to consider this not just a hypothetical, but actually reality.
I just...we don't have any time left. I really don't know what to do. It just doesn't seem real. How do we even prepare for something like this?
Shits bad but I’ve learned over the past years never to underestimate humanities ability to kick the can down the road for longer than you expect. Some rich nation or “non-profit” is going to try to aerosolize the sky. Maybe China, maybe the US/EU maybe the Gates Foundation. The stakes are too high for humanity to at least not try it, and we’ll collectively fuck over poor countries crop yields before letting industrialized civilization collapse. However if the change happens much faster than we might not have time to try it. Alternatively the consequences from trying might take us down anyways.