Image is from this article in the New York Times.


A magnitude 6.8 earthquake struck Morocco on September 8th, with the epicenter 73 kilometers away from Marrakesh.

At least 2500 people have died as of September 11th, most outside Marrakesh, with more people being pulled out of the rubble every day, making it the deadliest earthquake in Morocco since 1960, and the second-deadliest earthquake this year (first being, of course, the one in Turkiye-Syria in February, which killed nearly 60,000 people). While the deaths are the most horrific part, damage to historic sites has also been very significant - including buildings dating back to the 1000s.

Morocco is situated close to the Eurasian-African plate boundary, where the two plates are colliding. The rock comprising the Atlas Mountains, situated along the northwestern coast of Africa separating the Sahara from the Mediterranean Sea, are being pushed together at a rate of 1 millimeter per year, and thus the mountains are slowly growing. As they collide, energy is stored up over time and then released, and faults develop. The earthquake this month originated on one such fault, as did the earthquake in 1960. The earthquake hypocenter was 20-25 kilometers underground, with 1.7 meters (or 5 and a half feet) of rock suddenly shifting along a fault ~30 kilometers (19 miles) long.

Earthquake prediction is still deeply imprecise at best, and obtaining decent knowledge and forewarning of earthquakes is highly dependent on dense seismometer arrays that constantly monitor seismic activity, such as in Japan, and detailed understanding of the local and regional tectonic environment. The best way to prevent damage is to build earthquake-resistant infrastructure and establish routines for escaping buildings and reaching safety. All of these, of course, are underdeveloped to nonexistent in developing countries, particularly in poorer communities inside those countries.


The Country of the Week, in honour of Allende's death 50 years ago (the only bad geopolitical event that has occurred on September 11th, of course), is Chile. Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

The weekly update is here!

Links and Stuff

The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • Parsani [love/loves, comrade/them]
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Google translation for the recent German article published on Xinjiang. It isn't as long as I expected.

    Original: https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/xinjiang-china-kampf-gegen-terrorismus-und-separatismus-ld.1753509

    Archive: https://archive.ph/23wAc

    spoiler

    Beyond hatred and anger - after the successful campaign against terrorism and Islamism, Beijing wants conditions in Xinjiang to return to normal

    News from the Xinjiang region in China rarely reaches the world. For fear of terror and secession, Beijing keeps the Uyghur population under control through repression. However, a trip to China's far west suggests that things are taking a turn for the better. Thomas Heberer and Helwig Schmidt-Glintzer 31 comments September 11, 2023, 5:30 a.m

    Sensational reports of strictly managed internment camps, forced labor and cultural oppression of the Uyghurs continue to shape the world's image of the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in China to this day. However, the fact that this region suffered from massive Islamist terror between 2010 and 2016, which almost led to a loss of control on the part of the central government, has been less discussed. Beijing was forced to react with undoubtedly overly harsh measures in order to stop the terror and get the situation back under control. At stake was the internal security of all of China. It should not be overlooked that the Uyghur population itself suffered from the terror.

    After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the renaissance of Islamism in neighboring Central Asian states spread to Xinjiang, so that twelve separatist Islamist movements became active there in the mid-1990s. The Chinese authorities responded to bombings and armed attacks with repressive measures. However, these were not very effective.

    Iron disciplinary regime

    Poverty and unemployment, restrictions on religious activities and uncontrolled immigration of Han Chinese increased discontent among the Uyghur population. At the same time, it became clear that Uighur fighters were joining Islamist movements abroad. In 2016, extremist Uyghurs said in an IS video that they planned to “drown Han Chinese in a sea of blood.” Accordingly, they began recruiting young Uighurs as fighters in southern Xinjiang from Afghanistan and Pakistan.

    There are now clear signs of a return to “normality”.

    Due to terror and intimidation, Beijing was forced to declare a “state of emergency,” deploy military units to Xinjiang and impose a harsh disciplinary regime. This resulted in state arbitrariness.

    Four German China scholars (including the two authors) and an international law expert investigated on their own initiative in May 2023 the question of whether the situation in Xinjiang remained the same after the new leadership was appointed by Beijing at the end of 2021 or whether the situation had changed situation has now changed.

    According to the local Chinese authorities, the “fight against terrorism and Islamism” in Xinjiang from 2017 to 2020 represented a transitional phase. The new party secretary Ma Xingrui, who has been in office since December 2021, is pursuing the goal of returning to “normality” as quickly as possible . The focus is currently on the institutionalization of law and the return to legal procedures and their expansion.

    On the part of the Uyghur population, the modernizations initiated by the central government in terms of education, medical care and work are clearly met with sympathy. It is reported that the various camps that emerged during the peak phase of the fight against terror have now largely been dismantled. This is also what the critical Xinjiang expert Adrian Zenz, who has presented most of the documentation on developments in Xinjiang in recent years, suggests in a recently published paper.

    There are now clear signs of a return to “normality”. In the regions visited by the group, police road checkpoints are clearly no longer in use. With the introduction of fifteen years of free education (kindergarten, school and vocational training) for young Uyghurs, the state has initiated a new development push. In addition, there is state-subsidized health care, initially in the southern part of Xinjiang.

    Gateway to the West

    In the same direction, regionally divided and adapted development aid and resource provision by Chinese provinces from the more prosperous east of the country goes. This can be seen in modern vocational training centers in every Xinjiang region is. In addition to free education, students receive 200 yuan a month to support their parents. State-sponsored establishment of modern branch companies in the agricultural and industrial sectors, which have to employ almost exclusively Uyghurs at national minimum wage standards, are intended to help solve the employment problem.

    The tour group was unable to detect any general discrimination against the Uyghur language and culture, although in Xinjiang, as in all areas of ethnic minorities with their own language and script, Standard Chinese is the main language of instruction in schools from secondary school onwards. At compulsory school age, your own language is offered as a subject.

    Just as Xinjiang has been the continental “gateway to the West” for China for thousands of years, it will also remain one of the most important corridors for encounters and exchange for Central Asia and, by extension, Europe in the future. If the human rights situation continues to demonstrably normalize, the EU should start dialogue and reconsider the sanctions imposed on China over Xinjiang.

    Thomas Heberer is senior professor of Chinese politics and society at the University of Duisburg-Essen. Helwig Schmidt-Glintzer is professor of Chinese studies and director of the China Center Tübingen.

    Top Two Comments

    I try to differentiate. It is to be expected that a western travel group will only be shown positive examples. On the other hand, our complaints about the oppression of the Uighurs are always hypocritical: our own relationship with Islamists is shaped by very negative experiences. Beijing's dealings with Tibet and Hong Kong, its threats against Taiwan and its "friendship" with the warmonger Putin are sufficient reasons to approach the country with restraint. Its dominance over the West, especially the US, no longer looks so inevitable with the recent economic problems. Discussions and trade relations should be continued and dependencies on China should be avoided.

    I don't know. I remember the visits of Western delegations to what was then the Eastern Bloc. If you went there officially, and the four German China scientists mentioned in this article certainly did, then you will get the official version. I would be interested to know whether there were unofficial contacts, chance contacts, conversations with the other side, otherwise the assessment is quite worthless. I also remember my visit to Tibet. There is always the official line and the "other" line and from the official line you only get the information that the CCP wants to send. Otherwise, was the transformation from Stalin to Khrushchev also a “return to normality”?

    • zephyreks [none/use name]
      ·
      1 year ago

      How tightly patrolled do people think China is? You could buy a flight today, book a hotel, and start chatting with random people on the street. The implication that either China is able to completely lock down the experience of Western delegates (but not, y'know, normal Western tourists) or that Western delegates are too naive to see the truth is... Well, silly.

      China has neither the desire nor the resources to replicate the Soviet model.