China’s share of global GDP has increased from 3.6% in 2000 to 17.8% in 2019 and will continue to grow, the CEBR said. It would pass the per capita threshold of $12,536 (£9,215) to become a high-income country by 2023.

absolutely insane

  • Awoo [she/her]
    ·
    edit-2
    4 years ago

    They'll lead in the world by 2038 assuming China maintain 5% per year increases and the US maintain 3% increases.

    Sooner if the US underperforms.

    Children born into China today, which is currently poorer than Europe with an average around $11k-12k will grow up richer than Americans.

    • zifnab25 [he/him, any]
      ·
      4 years ago

      assuming China maintain 5% per year increases and the US maintain 3% increases.

      I don't know if either will be able to maintain those figures. This could turn into a race to the bottom.

      • Awoo [she/her]
        ·
        4 years ago

        Perhaps, but China has achieved it year on year for 20 years. There is no sign of it stopping. The US however? Strong signs that they're in decline.

        • zifnab25 [he/him, any]
          ·
          4 years ago

          Chinese growth is significantly lower than it enjoyed a decade ago. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 5-10 pts depending on who you believe.

          American growth has been stagnant since the Volker Era, more or less by design.