I think everyone is worried. But we have to trust the resistance fighters that organized this. It's always been a possibility. They have to have planned for this eventuality. Hopefully Israel invading fully is exactly what is needed to move forward towards liberation.
this operation was likely planned years in advance and the speed and precision of Hamas’ actions illustrate this. these people were born at war w their occupiers, their whole lives have led up to this moment of organized resistance. critical support to Palestinians in their efforts against settler-colonialism, genocide, and imperialism. we must not wring our hands over whether this will end badly for Palestine, we may not know the end for years.
a healthy amount of optimism will do us well: urban warfare is costly and dangerous for the aggressor, Hezbollah and Iran will likely intervene if IDF forces invade Gaza, western arms and aid are tied up in Ukraine, IDF soldiers (like US soldiers) are used to bullying civilians and poorly armed rebels so an organized, moderately-equipped Hamas is something they’re unfamiliar with
To take a step further back, given Saudi's cooling relationship with the US and the fragile state of the petro-dollar Israeli aggression in Gaza might have wider reprecussions in the Arab world, weakening America's position by association.
definitely. KSA has been playing both sides of the trade war but now the normalization of Saudi-Israeli relations is at risk. and with KSA joining BRICS, the west doesn’t hold nearly as much sway in the Middle East. Israel will soon be the only state there where the US has significant soft power. real cool zone hours
If Israel is forced to give up the Negev, doesn't that open up a huge opportunity for a KSA oil pipeline through "friendly" territory to the African continent?
The US has irreparably pissed off almost every major oil and gas producing power so if the Arab states turn against it, we could be looking at another OPEC embargo.
Double funny if OPEC also includes the EU for supporting Israel. Give those arrogant Eurocrats something to think about over winter.
I think everyone is worried. But we have to trust the resistance fighters that organized this. It's always been a possibility. They have to have planned for this eventuality. Hopefully Israel invading fully is exactly what is needed to move forward towards liberation.
this operation was likely planned years in advance and the speed and precision of Hamas’ actions illustrate this. these people were born at war w their occupiers, their whole lives have led up to this moment of organized resistance. critical support to Palestinians in their efforts against settler-colonialism, genocide, and imperialism. we must not wring our hands over whether this will end badly for Palestine, we may not know the end for years.
a healthy amount of optimism will do us well: urban warfare is costly and dangerous for the aggressor, Hezbollah and Iran will likely intervene if IDF forces invade Gaza, western arms and aid are tied up in Ukraine, IDF soldiers (like US soldiers) are used to bullying civilians and poorly armed rebels so an organized, moderately-equipped Hamas is something they’re unfamiliar with
To take a step further back, given Saudi's cooling relationship with the US and the fragile state of the petro-dollar Israeli aggression in Gaza might have wider reprecussions in the Arab world, weakening America's position by association.
definitely. KSA has been playing both sides of the trade war but now the normalization of Saudi-Israeli relations is at risk. and with KSA joining BRICS, the west doesn’t hold nearly as much sway in the Middle East. Israel will soon be the only state there where the US has significant soft power. real cool zone hours
If Israel is forced to give up the Negev, doesn't that open up a huge opportunity for a KSA oil pipeline through "friendly" territory to the African continent?
The US has irreparably pissed off almost every major oil and gas producing power so if the Arab states turn against it, we could be looking at another OPEC embargo.
Double funny if OPEC also includes the EU for supporting Israel. Give those arrogant Eurocrats something to think about over winter.
:lathe-of-heaven: