I'm going to say it now: 538 has no idea wtf is going on (due to the whole coronavirus situation) so they just did the same prediction as 2016 so no matter what happens they'll look good
Personally, I think US Presidential elections should be determined via Tarot readings. It would at least be more consistent than some of the Democratic Party's caucus rules.
Statistics are, but Nate's punditry -- often backed by flawed statistics -- really isn't. He's just contributing to the horse race spectacle, usually without offering any useful insights. It also doesn't help that, in doing so, he also (somewhat) influences the outcome according to his own personal biases. I'm sure there were plenty of Hillary voters out there who stayed home in 2016 because Trump "only" had a 30% chance of winning -- Matt talked on the pod about the same sort of phenomenon with Biden voters in Iowa back in February -- and that wound up being one of the proverbial thousand cuts that was enough to swing the election in a few districts.
I'm going to say it now: 538 has no idea wtf is going on (due to the whole coronavirus situation) so they just did the same prediction as 2016 so no matter what happens they'll look good
538 is astrology for lanyard dorks.
Not really. Statistics are more related to the real world than astrology, which isn’t at all
At least astrology occasionally tells you to get your shit together
Personally, I think US Presidential elections should be determined via Tarot readings. It would at least be more consistent than some of the Democratic Party's caucus rules.
Make Nancy Reagan's Astrologer Great Again
déjà vu
Statistics are, but Nate's punditry -- often backed by flawed statistics -- really isn't. He's just contributing to the horse race spectacle, usually without offering any useful insights. It also doesn't help that, in doing so, he also (somewhat) influences the outcome according to his own personal biases. I'm sure there were plenty of Hillary voters out there who stayed home in 2016 because Trump "only" had a 30% chance of winning -- Matt talked on the pod about the same sort of phenomenon with Biden voters in Iowa back in February -- and that wound up being one of the proverbial thousand cuts that was enough to swing the election in a few districts.
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I dont read theory