Same as 2016

  • jack [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    4 years ago

    I don't think 30% = "He'll never win". It's probably more like "He'll win 30% of the time".

    • spectre [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      Yep, 538 gave him a 30pct chance in 2016 too, and as much as a dope Nate and Co are at interpreting their numbers, I think they were accurate then, and might be now (though there are more factors at play in 2020.