:france-cool:
"In January the general staff quietly established ten working groups to examine the country’s readiness for high-intensity war. French generals reckon that they have a decade or so to prepare for it. The groups cover everything from munition shortages to the resilience of society, including whether citizens are “ready to accept the level of casualties we have never seen since world war two”, says one participant. The spectre of high-end war is now so widespread in French military thinking that the scenario has its own acronym: HEM, or hypothèse d'engagement majeur (hypothesis of major engagement). The presumed opponents are unnamed, but analysts point not only to Russia, but also Turkey or a North African country."
Obviously, Turkey and France aren't exactly best buds. While the brain trust that uses /r/geopolitics, /r/neoliberal as NATO flairs think that just because these two are in an alliance of convenience they will be forever, it wouldn't surprise me if they actually got into some kind of conflict that would shatter NATO.
Not sure what France is gearing up for, the only actually sensical target is some north African country. Possibly Libya to "re-stabilize" it. I don't know if this type of gearing up is actually typical for France or not, either. It would be normal for the US, I guess.
The article mentioned an increase in troops in the Sahel region (think Chad, Burkina Faso, Mali, etc.)
I think maybe with US decline being more recognized and cemented we'll see the other western states re-militarize. The UK also had a funding increase recently. But I honestly can't think of what the flashpoints of a real war would be at this point... Turkey and France and UK have some competition in North Africa and Cyprus but I don't think things are degrading fast enough to justify preparation for peer level warfare. Maybe it's just sabre rattling and a withdrawal of funding from Raytheon/US defense contractors to homegrown defense contractors as the bourgeois realize the US isn't going to be able to deliver on world police actions anymore.
Also Macron said something before about establishing a European Army.