I don't really think that's true. I think Chinese national security is threatened by any concrete move towards independence and that will hinge upon whether the dial moves in that direction in upcoming elections or whether it swings to the KMT.
Ukraine joining nato is to Russia what Taiwan truly becoming owned by the US would be to China. I do believe they would invade for far less than declaring independence, the US would put missiles and potentially troops there before any declaration.
There's an unsubstantiated theory that Pelosi faked her COVID diagnosis earlier this year as a pretext for canceling her Taiwan trip. The idea is that China told the US that such a visit crossed their red line and threatened to shoot down the plane.
Guess we'll never know, but it seems somewhat plausible given that backchannels between US and Chinese militaries do exist.
I think that the PRC has said officially that it would use force in the case of a unilateral declaration of independence from Taipei, buy has not ruled out military intervention in other cases. I'd be surprised if China wouldn't consider military conflict if Taiwan (for example) decided to host American nuclear missiles.
As for a military coup, the Taipei military notoriously suffers from low morale and readiness. Add to that the fact that many high ranking officers are old school KMT guys who still see themselves as essentially Chinese, the military coup could well cut the other way.
In fact, a retired Taiwanese general made a video of himself recently calling for the Taipei army to surrender to the PRC on the first day of the invasion.
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I don't really think that's true. I think Chinese national security is threatened by any concrete move towards independence and that will hinge upon whether the dial moves in that direction in upcoming elections or whether it swings to the KMT.
Ukraine joining nato is to Russia what Taiwan truly becoming owned by the US would be to China. I do believe they would invade for far less than declaring independence, the US would put missiles and potentially troops there before any declaration.
There's an unsubstantiated theory that Pelosi faked her COVID diagnosis earlier this year as a pretext for canceling her Taiwan trip. The idea is that China told the US that such a visit crossed their red line and threatened to shoot down the plane.
Guess we'll never know, but it seems somewhat plausible given that backchannels between US and Chinese militaries do exist.
:based-department: Based
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I think that the PRC has said officially that it would use force in the case of a unilateral declaration of independence from Taipei, buy has not ruled out military intervention in other cases. I'd be surprised if China wouldn't consider military conflict if Taiwan (for example) decided to host American nuclear missiles.
As for a military coup, the Taipei military notoriously suffers from low morale and readiness. Add to that the fact that many high ranking officers are old school KMT guys who still see themselves as essentially Chinese, the military coup could well cut the other way.
In fact, a retired Taiwanese general made a video of himself recently calling for the Taipei army to surrender to the PRC on the first day of the invasion.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4261383
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