Image: the last sight of many a commie.
Please pronounce his name wrong to make the title pun work better.
Anyway - Javier Milei, a caricature of a libertarian invented deep in the Hexbear Bit Factory, has won the Argentinian general election; and with a 12 point lead over Massa, it wasn't even particularly close. There are several analogies for this situation - Trump beating Hillary, Bolsonaro winning in 2018, or the alternate universe where Le Pen beat Macron. Massa is not a great guy. The last couple years have been difficult for Argentina, facing massive inflation and the same general economic downturns that are happening everywhere.
Milei is an... interesting person. To name just a couple things going on in his deeply bizarre life, he has a very special relationship with his sister, and an even more special relationship with his mastiff, Conan. When Conan died in 2017, he was so utterly distraught that he had him cloned into four new dogs, named Murray, Milton, Robert, and Lucas, for his economist idols. And he uses mediums to speak to his dead dog. This is probably the closest we're ever going to get to having a dog be president of a country.
Milei wants to essentially collapse the economy even harder. Playing off the general public sentiment of "dollar = good, peso = bad", he has vowed to make the national currency of Argentina the US dollar, thus eagerly giving a massive amount of control over the Argentinian economy directly to America. He wants to take a chainsaw to the status quo, cut off trade with communist countries like China, and demolish the Central Bank. Will Argentinian capitalists and the Senate let him do this? Probably not. What happens with their membership in BRICS+? Who knows. Where does Peronism go from here? Who can say.
But he still won, and will now be president. I suppose that every dog has its day.
Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
The Country of the Week is Argentina! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
Your Thursday Briefing:
Putin has said during the G20 online summit:
“The injection of trillions of dollars and euros into the economy, into the banking system, ultimately provoked a surge in global inflation, a rapid increase in food and energy prices. This is precisely what lies at the heart of the events that I mentioned [turbulence in the global economy], not our actions and our attempts to achieve justice in Ukraine, no,”
Erdogan continues to do a little trolling by not ratifying Sweden's accession to NATO in time for a meeting of NATO foreign ministers next week. Meanwhile, an intern at Baykar, producer of the eponymous and rather lackluster drones, was caught stealing four hard disks in Istanbul - possibly to sell them.
The EU is overhauling its environmental laws covering crimes, criminalizing illegal logging, the introduction of invasive species, and illegal water withdrawals. Individuals can face at least ten years in prison, while companies might get a minimum of 5% of their total reveneues fined.
The fascist PVV party in the Netherlands achieved a plurality of votes, with 37 out of 150 seats in parliament, thus needing a coalition with parties worth a further 39 seats to achieve a majority. The Labor-Green bloc won 25 seats and outgoing PM Mark Rutte's party won 24 seats. The party wants to halt all immigration and is generally anti-EU.
Finland has closed all but one of its border crossings with Russia in an attempt to stem the flow of hundreds of Middle Eastern asylum seekers sent nefariously by the scheming Kremlin to destabilise Finland. Finland will not fall for Putin's evil ruse, and will valiantly let them die in the winter cold instead of give in to terrorist regimes.
Disinformation experts in Slovakia's new government have been leaving their posts after it has been posting pro-Russian propaganda, such as that Ukrainians are fascists and that the US is to blame for the war.
The DPRK has suspended its 2018 military accord, which was signed to de-escalate tensions along the border, with its US-occupied lower half. This comes after the DPRK launched its military reconnaissance satellite. Kim Jong Un has already viewed photographs of US military facilities.
Russia and China have been angling for the best position on the Akkas gas field in Anbar province, Iraq, as the country remains very geopolitically important due to its position and resources. The gas field contains 5.6 trillion cubic feet of proven reserves.
Iran has been de-designating (that is, telling to fuck off, as is their legal right) several highly-knowledgable IAEA nuclear inspectors, with has prompted concerns by Rafael Grossi, suspecting Iran of getting up to some sussy stuff. Given the constant fearmongering over the years about how Iran is a mere 9 nanoseconds from possessing nukes, if it ever does happen it'll be a "boy who cried wolf" incident.
40% of African financial institutions want a single African currency akin to the euro, and a similar number want a more open pan-African banking system. Business leaders are generally upbeat on African economic prospects but wary of inflation and debt.
The French foreign minister has said: "Contrary to what some media outlets, and social networks in particular, are saying, France is absolutely not being driven out of Africa, and we're not in decline at all."
The UN stabilisation mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has agreed to withdraw its 15,000 peacekeepers (though without a firm timeline) after President Tshisekedi called for them to accelerate the withdrawal in September, due to a lack of real protection against rebel groups.
Conflict in Sudan continues, with refugees streaming out of the region. Chad, a country of 17 million people that was already struggling, has had to take in over one million refugees, with malnutrition affecting many. The World Food Programme is aiding all they can. Meanwhile, the Rapid Support Forces in opposition to the Sudanese government have made advances in Darfur, a region in western Sudan, with four out of Darfur's five states now in RSF hands. Former rebel groups that previously opposed the government are now stepping out of neutrality and deciding to fight alongside the government. The RSF is accused of having supply lines from Chad, Libya, and CAR, which all border Darfur.
After in an extended drought season marked by five failed rains which caused 15 million people in East Africa to descend into food insecurity, flooding in Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia is happening on a wide scale, with 1.5 million hectares submerged in Somalia, or over 2% of the country. This has impacted 1.7 million in Somalia (10% of the population), and overall 3.1 million across the region. Food sources like livestock are under threat due to diseases.
Gay furry hackers have hacked the Idaho National Laboratory, with employee addresses, social security numbers, bank account information, and other data posted online. The hackers said that if the INL researched creating catgirls irl, they would take down the leak.
In the Dominican Republic, 27 people have died and over 7000 homes affected in torrential rains that broke records, with 431 millimeters in recent days.
President Lula said on Tuesday that “Brazil had to play a very strong role to not allow Africa to continue being held hostage by colonizers or by very strong interventions from China, which was seeking to buy the food they needed so much,” in a public critique of Chinese policy.
Milei's office mistakenly identified the UK foreign secretary, David Cameron, as instead James Cameron, the Chapo-endorsed film director.
"I am not owned! I am not owned! Hon hon hon!" I say as I slowly turn into le baguette.
can a geopolitics and finance enjoyer explain what would the ramifications of this be? cause it seems extremely based to my uneducated brain
Death to America
It's very reminiscent of Gaddafi's ideas, who wanted a "United States of Africa" which was less dependent on the West and could repel looters, a gold dinar as a united currency, a single army to defend the continent, and a single passport. One of the emails from the Hillary Clinton email leak stated:
As to why exactly why a gold dinar would help, here's this explanation:
As far as I'm aware, the mere fact that oil is sold in dollars is less important than the fact that the money that countries like Saudi Arabia make from oil is then invested into America. Some people bundle these two facts into the concept of the "petrodollar", while others say that only the first fact is really the "petrodollar" and so don't care as much about dismantling the petrodollar as others do.
Straight from Michael Hudson himself:
Yves downplays this a little by saying that regardless of whether the US demanded it or not, there wasn't really anywhere else for Saudi money to go - the euro didn't exist at this time. But the end result is the same, with the Saudis and other OPEC states buying stocks and bonds in America to boost the economy with the oil money they were making. There are some people who claim that the US dollar, despite being fiat, is effectively being backed by oil, and so if oil was priced in other currencies then it would actually make a big difference. I don't really know enough to say definitively if that's the case. But on balance I tend to believe that the actual battle being waged in the Saudi-China-US fight over what currency oil should be in isn't so much "Should we make oil be priced in dollars, or yuan, or a mix of local currencies?" but instead "Where should the money that Saudi Arabia makes from the oil actually go - into the US, into China, somewhere else entirely?
Back to the present day - sentiment is not enough to make an entirely new currency. But as US and French influence declines, we might well see another big push in the coming years towards at least creating parts of this scheme.
This won't happen. As Gaddafi realised you need to have a state before you can institute a currency. That's why the EU is failing, they introduced a currency before becoming a state, putting the cart before the horse. That's why Gaddafi campaigned for a single passport and army with a currency, thus creating the state and currency simultaneously.
However what is a state? A state is firstly a society, and African society is too divided for anything like this to happen. Pan Africanism is almost a dead ideology inside Africa at this point, only diaspora groups keep it alive. This survey here was conducted by a bank that is explicitly pan African in Afreximbank, I don't think it's a good judge of general opinion.
seems like another effect of the multipolar world order we're seeing emerge. thanks for the long and detailed explanation, comrade.
Death to America
Absolute bullshit from an idiot. He says this even though his own country is literally held hostage by farmers, so much so they kill Amazon natives and burn the Amazon while killing the environmental government agency officials. He can go fuck himself with this one.
It is also so particularly infuriating, just go mention "Land reform"(reforma agraria) to any Brazilian and they'll laugh at you. Don't clutch pearls about "Chinese intervention" like some western/American libshit like that. Either you provide the evidence and show where and what the Chinese actually did wrong or go look at mirror lol.