I don't think the US is going to let Israel to a ground invasion of Lebanon. They are spooked by the reaction to the genocide in Gaza and itching for an opportunity to "reign Israel in". They will not do it in Palestine because they are fundamentally evil and support the genocide there, but Lebanon is a different matter. Netanyahu is so incredibly fucked since he will be held responsible for letting October 7 happen once there is not an acute state of emergency that he is to some extent forgetting that Israel is a US client state. That is a personal Netanyahu problem though, and Israel will send him to jail forever before disobeying the actual wishes of the US, servant nation that they are.
If they even try this, the US will step in as the "sensible" mediator and put a stop to it immediately.
I don't think the US is going to let Israel to a ground invasion of Lebanon. They are spooked by the reaction to the genocide in Gaza and itching for an opportunity to "reign Israel in".
I totally disagree with this analysis. Time will tell which of us is right.
Yea on the other hand, I feel like throwing Hezbollah onto the same side as Palestine against Israel will make for a great divide and conquer amongst the more liberal Palestine supporters in the US
I think that the US is going to really really want Israel to not do a ground invasion of Lebanon but also that the time of the US "letting" and "not letting" its proxies do things is a distant memory.
they also know the IOF is incompetent and would be thoroughly embarrassed by Hezbollah, just like they were in '06. and now 17 years later, Hezbollah is 100x stronger.
I don't think the US is going to let Israel to a ground invasion of Lebanon. They are spooked by the reaction to the genocide in Gaza and itching for an opportunity to "reign Israel in". They will not do it in Palestine because they are fundamentally evil and support the genocide there, but Lebanon is a different matter. Netanyahu is so incredibly fucked since he will be held responsible for letting October 7 happen once there is not an acute state of emergency that he is to some extent forgetting that Israel is a US client state. That is a personal Netanyahu problem though, and Israel will send him to jail forever before disobeying the actual wishes of the US, servant nation that they are.
If they even try this, the US will step in as the "sensible" mediator and put a stop to it immediately.
I totally disagree with this analysis. Time will tell which of us is right.
Yea on the other hand, I feel like throwing Hezbollah onto the same side as Palestine against Israel will make for a great divide and conquer amongst the more liberal Palestine supporters in the US
I think that the US is going to really really want Israel to not do a ground invasion of Lebanon but also that the time of the US "letting" and "not letting" its proxies do things is a distant memory.
they also know the IOF is incompetent and would be thoroughly embarrassed by Hezbollah, just like they were in '06. and now 17 years later, Hezbollah is 100x stronger.
I hope so, but the US has been full of nasty surprises lately