6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I've not heard of it before

  • Egon
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    3 months ago

    deleted by creator

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
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      10 months ago

      Wrong about the beginning of events, but correct about their trajectory once they have begun

      But often only because we go "No, that won't happen, that would be stupid and counterproductive for the West" but then they just do the thing anyway and so we just go "...okay, well, they're gonna lose then"

      • Egon
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        3 months ago

        deleted by creator

        • Sephitard9001 [he/him]
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          10 months ago

          It was a Thatcher bombing situation. The libs crying wolf about Russia only have to get lucky once, we have to get lucky every single time. They like to forget that they were howling about an imminent Russian invasion for months and even US analysts no longer considered it plausible. And then it happened.

        • HumanBehaviorByBjork [any, undecided]
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          10 months ago

          i mean the specific miscalculation was basically not accounting for the Putin government having any motivations beyond the national interest of Russia.

    • bbnh69420 [she/her, they/them]
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      10 months ago

      Ever since Ukraine, my partner scoffs whenever I say “nothing major is going to happen.” I can’t say they’re wrong

    • HamManBad [he/him]
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      10 months ago

      Ukraine is like the only thing this site has been wrong about, and that's only because we forgot the number one rule -- the stupidest thing that can happen is the one most likely to happen

      • Egon
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        3 months ago

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    • Mokey [none/use name]
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      edit-2
      10 months ago

      Naw my vibe based interpretation says not shit happens

      Disclaimer: I was wrong about covid

      • Dessa [she/her]
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        10 months ago

        I just assume it's all gong to happen now. Once years started to happen, all bets were off.

    • Kaplya
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      10 months ago

      I actually anticipated a war in Ukraine (because I had been listening to Alex Mercouris and for months throughout 2021 he was very pessimistic about the various diplomatic negotiations leading up to February 2022), I simply did not expect it to happen this soon. I thought it would be another year or so, but those who had been following closely the US-Russia summit in 2021 knew that the US was dead set on provoking a war in Ukraine.