https://twitter.com/LailaAlarian/status/1785725466998964654

    • bleepbloopbop [they/them]
      ·
      6 months ago

      someone posted the other day that the betting markets have trump's odds at only 30%

        • Pentacat [he/him]
          ·
          6 months ago

          I just heard on a radio station trivia contest that May is the only month that has not featured a US President dying. I’m not saying I’m wishing for anything, but they may have jinxed the betting odds by using that question today. Trump would definitely defeat Biden, but a mystery candidate could pretend to be more moderate for a short time.

        • BGDelirium [he/him]
          ·
          6 months ago

          Freal, gimme a betting app so I can throw some overtime money at Trump destroying Byeden at the polls in November

      • EstraDoll [she/her]
        ·
        6 months ago

        I really, really shouldn't get into gambling on the internet, but this isn't even gambling, this is just free money at this point

    • abc [he/him, comrade/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      6 months ago

      I don't condone gambling but...

      https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

      According to this WSJ article, you'll make like $800 if you bet $850 (the max) on Trump winning atm; since Biden is at $0.51/share and Trump is at $0.47/share. You get a dollar per share if your bet wins. Their fees are like 15% (10% commission and a 5% withdrawal fee) though.

      There's also Iowa's Electronic Markets which also do election betting: https://iem.uiowa.edu/iem/

      The aforementioned WSJ article has a bit more information on both: https://archive.is/eHAEk

      don't quote me on any of this because I historically lose like $100 on blackjack everytime I'm in a casino and wind up morosely drinking watered down gin sours for the rest of the night at the penny slots while my friends go 'just go back and gamble a bit more you were literally at a $5.00 buy in table & can lose more than $100.00' lmao