This is a brief roster of my impressions of the current main groups within the mono-party. It goes without saying that only people above a certain net worth get their opinions heard. The categories do overlap a bit. The red team historically has more bourgeoisie at its back (at least in public), and the blue team historically has the ability to mobilize more “mass” support. I put mass in scare quotes because not only does bourgeois democracy provide false choices to the people, anywhere from half to a third of voting age USamericans don’t vote for president at all. The centrality of abortion in the Harris messaging and the chance for the first woman president will likely give them the grassroots edge, for whatever that matters.

Blue Team

Bidenists: People materially, ideologically, or opportunistically committed to Ukraine or “israel”. This includes a number of defense contractors, investment firms, and intelligence people.

Silicon Valley: The contradiction of tech’s desired reputation (change, progress, etc) with the excess and corruption of the tech boom resolves itself in massive donations to the democratic party, at least from the usual CEO’s (Alphabet, Microsoft, etc).

Deep Party: Obama keeps decently quiet about who he pulls which strings for, but Kamala did not kick out Joe. She’s an unpopular but available figurehead, and I don’t really know enough about who’s behind that beyond vaguely saying something about the Clinton Foundation.

Finance Capital: Biden has led a great intensification of wealth away from poor and middle class minorities and to the financial bourgeois. Many of them are smart enough to see that.

Hollywood: They are louder then they are significant, but they do have some amount of money and some amount of soft power/ voter appeal. As a Californian from the area, I’d say most of them are just excited Biden is gone. Kamala was a bad AG, and most of us hate Sacramento people by default. Kamala could mess this one up in a number of ways.

Red Team

Small Industry Capital: The jetski dealership owners, the ranchers, the farmers, and the small factory owners are still kicking around USamerica, and they control a lot of local jobs and clout. These people have been locked in with Trump since ‘16, because racism, tariffs, and tax cuts are exactly what they all want.

Crypto Valley: Silicon Valley is not cleanly sticking to Kamala; this is especially the case in newer and more speculative industries. AI, crypto, and some venture capitalists want Trump. Marc Andreesen, Elon Musk, and the Bitcoin conference all have shown support for Trump, I believe in hopes that he will deregulate crypto. Kamala is making similar promises though, and these people haven’t wavered in their support for Trump.

Thielites: Thiel represents both the recent trend of the Valley and the MIC working hand in glove and also spending a lot of money on elections. A chunk of Republican bourgeois greatly support both. This is distinct from the Crypto people because Thiel owns the VP and Palantir.

Finance Capital: Trump cut a lot of taxes, and he’s smart/ dumb enough to guarantee rate cuts if he wins. Some bolder/ dumber finance capital people want even more than what Biden is offering.

Resource Extraction Capital: The shale oil boom accelerated massively under Trump. This is especially worth thinking about if geopolitics causes the price of oil to spike. Additionally, Shell and Chevron were set for coal and gas exploitation in Ukraine before the war, so they count as part of the people “left out” of the Ukraine cash cow.

Christian Nuts: These people have so much money it’s unreal. The dog that caught the car with abortion, now it has too much influence and no target. In my opinion, this is the main source of “weird” messaging that dips into white/ Christian nationalist stuff too much. The hogs must be sated.