Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.
The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.
Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.
Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
The atrocities will come later, but people have memed who must go into our generation's no pasaràn. Baathism was always bad, it betrayed Nasser. I just hate that people who saw this coming our all labeled defeatist right until the actual defeat, at which point they are called reactionaries. I also think Iraq is going to have a suspicious timed Sunni uprising right after Iraq and Iran send reinforcements that will inevitably be attacked by Israel. The question is where the Alawites and Damascus urbanites go, Europe is not going to take them (imagine how the fascists will react when Syrian refugees say they dont want to share space with ideological enemeies) and Iran seems like one bad day away from reinstating the Shah. My bet is South America. We should also start mapping where all the isis camps are, the rebels are about to get a bunch of reinforcements. It's either game over or the start of the sunni shia war.
Most of the Syrian Shia/Alawite diaspora probably end up in Lebanon or Iraq. The ones who can afford to will either go to Europe or elsewhere.
Odds are lebanon will fall into civil war and Isis will attack Iraq again first.
Perhaps, but Iraq and Lebanon are the closest Shia-friendly countries that Syrian Shia can get to on foot or by car.
Sunnis live in the west and have rebelled against the shia dominated government twice. This is the perfect time to do so again.
The Sunnis in Iraq are not the Borg. A bunch of Iraqi Sunnis fought with the Iraqi government against ISIS.
I am talking about the awakening that led to isis.
Alawites will carve up some Abkhazia-style Russian protectorate on the coast in the end. Jolani's HTS are more like 2021 Taliban, they aren't interested in ruining their international relationships and they're definitely not committing a genocide of the entire Latakia-Tartous coast. Regular Syrian shias will just go to Iraq though, there will be an exodus very soon. Damascus and Aleppo elites will grow their beards, send their sons and daughters to Dubai and rebrand themselves, tbh I don't care what happens to them. I also don't believe in any Sunni uprising scenario in Iraq as well. The situation in 2014 was charged when it came to sectarianism, and there was already a sunni protest movement against that shithead Nouri Al Maliki that ISIS infiltrated and took over. Sunnis in Iraq are now enjoying their best period since the 80s. Their cities are prospering, the security situation is fantastic and the economy is doing well for them. People overestimate the willingness of random people to fight for any cause, there isn't an appetite for fighting anymore in Iraq, not even the Shias are that excited about Syria anymore. I'm only worried about the Sayyida Zaynab shrine in Damascus, Jihadists would love to demolish it. I hope that the new calmer Jolani makes cooler heads prevail and avoid any unnecessary bloodshed for that.
The difference here is that Israel would bomb the crap out of such a breakaway state. There will be nothing to stop them.