established a foothold in Latin America through Argentina

agreed, would add Peru to that sentiment. Monroe Doctrine is so back

Asia through India

gotta have another vassal to harvest as South Korea and Japan circle the drain, lmao

Ukraine has done its job dragging down Russia and Europe

Russia I disagree with here, I think they're coming out stronger than they went in actually. Europe, absolutely.

Middle East is being destabilized

I agree with this but this is actually the bad kind of destabilisation for the US for multiple reasons (weakens/destroys their giant military base called Israel, strengthens Iran in the process, potentially fucks up global trade through the Red Sea, further diplomatically weakens the US, etc) rather than the good kind so it works against the overall point

I do appreciate that you're basically my pessimistic foil at this point, though it's nice to keep grounded on these issues, so I look forward to your summary

The Biden administration has established a foothold in Latin America through Argentina.

Actually, no, the correct place would be Peru, where the democratically elected president was removed from power and a puppet was put in his place. And a bunch of US troops went there to put down the revolts and prevent a invasion by any neighboring country.

I do persoanlly think de-dollarization will still work, but the USA sure is doing everything possible to stop it from happening. China and Brazil will both have closer relations, and Argentina really needs to trade and the aid they receive from Brazil and China (besides they have a bunch of loans they need to pay to both countries). Even if Milei is a fucking moron, the neoliberals behind him will force him to trade with the two countries.

Modi's relationship with Biden is one of convenience. India is far too nationalistic to fall too far into the American sphere of influence.

I would look at the collapse of the British Empire as a counterpoint. It reached its greated geographical extent about 20-25 years before it's collapse. History is littered with empires have collapsed quickly after reaching their zenith because they simply don't know when to take the W and walk away. America may have won in Argentina in the short term, but I simply don't see a long-term strategy to fix Argentina that benefits both America and Argentina. The contradictions have not disappeared with a Milei win. The debt is going to have to be forgiven and excessive privitization is going to cause serious social upheaval.

In terms of dedollarization, that may be coming whether or not BRICS makes it happen. The US is about to lose its last AAA credit rating, and Washington seems simply too dysfunctional to do what needs to be done for fix the US' growing budgetary and financial issues (or make the American bourgeoisie sacrifice on behalf of the country, for once). It's hard to say right now which direction we are heading, or how long it could take for a collapse, but there seems to be a path where the US causes dedollarization all on its own, and BRICS can sit back and shrug its shoulders saying it has no choices instead of taking the "more aggressive" posture.

Your read on the situation is far too pessimistic.

The Biden administration has established a foothold in Latin America through Argentina,

This is actually bad news since per the Monroe doctrine, the entirety of Latin America is supposed to be under US dominion. As overused as the phrase "America's backyard" is, America's backyard is supposed to apply to Latin America. The US has taken major L's with Brazil (Lula got elected), Colombia (Colombia is no longer the Israel of Latin America), and especially Bolivia (a premier source of lithium is controlled by MAS after overturning the Christofascists).

Asia through India,

India is beset with numerous internal contradictions: religion, caste, ethnicity, geography, and class. It had a very strategic geopolitical position until the issue with Palestine came up. Due to the rabid Islamophobia of the ruling party, Modi can't effectively play both sides or remain neutral but have to side with Israel for the sake of his constituents. IMO, India isn't prepared to deal with climate change, and their society will collapse over unresolved contradictions after having those contradictions sharpened by climate change.

Ukraine has done its job dragging down Russia and Europe

I don't see Russia being adversely affected by Ukraine like Europe is.

the Middle East is being destabilized.

It's being destabilized because their precious proxy state is being existentially threatened. US benefits from WANA destabilization when the destabilization is caused by Israel or Western backed jihadists like ISIS. It's definitely not benefiting from the destabilization now.

And on another point, Western imperialism has been taking major L's in the Sahel. Mali and Burkina Faso are already cleaning up house and ridding their countries of Western backed jihadists and separatists. They and Niger banded together and called out ECOWAS/Nigeria's bluff.

i would say the first foothold was ecuador since the right still controls it, right now its ecuador, argentina, peru and salvador who are very pro US, i dont think the war in Ukraine has been that good for the USA while they did get a bunch of funding for the military-industrial complex and weaked their european satellites it didnt hurt the Russians that much, like russia did have to use a bunch of it reserves to stabilize its economy right now they are ok and are able to expand their influence in other regions of the world like the middle east and africa,

The destabilization of the Middle east it actually bad for the USA, like before Iran was a pariah and they were able to do regime change in a few nations, right now they are losing that support and Relations with Iran and other contries are being normalized, they failed in syria and yemen and now they are pro-iran, Iraq instead of being a US ally has instead become a neutral party and is slowly becoming anti-american the Saudi-Iran cold war is in pause, Turkey is still and independent actor and their support of Israel is ruining their image in the region. its looking bad for them there

Biden isn’t reviving shit

I did not agree with your other takes but here I agree almost 100%. The de-dolarization is a stronger trend than you give credit for IMO.

The China normalization shit and the Argentinian election are severe blows to the BRICS, anyone thinking otherwise is still drinking the koolaid from 12 months ago. It is specialy painful for Brazil too since Lula was very invested into Argentina's membership and now he looks like a clown.

But most importantly, everything is collapsing under China's noses and fucking Xi is having meetings the devil, in the middle of a genocide, in the middle of the BRICS falling apart...

Its terrible and China shall eat shit for their naive and useless foreign policy. I go back to my earlier criticism, the CPC are proving they are nothing but stand for nothing liberals. They truly believe that nonsensical idiocy of cooperation and good relations with the US. They're proving they have no Marxist understanding of imperialism, they're proving they don't see the US as an existential threat.

If people were asking as a consequence of the meeting what was China's concession this time? Well its right here. China continues their commitment to non-interventionism, they continue to claim they wont fight the US. In doing so this is the result. The US creates regional conflicts, they force the local bourgeoisie to subvert national interests in favor of the US and end up undermining everything China builds.

Its why you need to actualy fight the US. It is why I am extremely angry and sad over this BS normalization trend. We are doomed at this rate. The Ukraine war may well turn out to be a mere bump in the road only because Russia is an actual nuclear armed country capable of securing their interests. Everyone else in the global south, literally can't afford shit because the only country actualy capable of influencing global politics doesn't actualy want to jeopardize their own self interest.

Its a shame this is the end of 2023 trend we're getting, 2024 looks horrible. China will be embarrassed once again when US election time comes and both sides promise more Taiwan escalation.