Been doomscrolling r/worldnews sometimes cuz reading their takes on Israel-Palestine is a form of self-harm. Then, go cleanse myself on r/news which has been somewhat decent surprisingly. But each time I also glance at headlines at the “other” war where it seems like Ukraine’s doing pretty well?

Anyone have good sources to follow and keep up to date on it?

  • carpoftruth [any, any]
    ·
    1 year ago

    Today's MoA is a good overview of the current state of things, especially if you read the various other articles linked:

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/11/a-look-at-others-notes-on-ukraine.html#more

    The linked articles from simplicius/bigserge cover military matters, Yves Smith on naked capitalism is about the potential for a negotiated settlement, and Gordon Hahns piece is about military/political matters inside Russia.

    The following article is not referenced in today's MoA but it is useful insofar as it talks about Russian public opinion https://johnhelmer.org/if-the-army-says-fight-the-war-russians-agree-if-the-kremlin-says-stop-russians-agree-on-conditions-the-army-decides/

    Tldr, ukraine has been wrung out and is being hung out to dry. Personally I expect de facto Russian victory to happen in 2026, with 2024 seeing ukrainian military being driven out of the remainder of the donbass, 2025 being conflict east of the dniper and 2026 seeing things settle, with or without a peace agreement.