Assuming that the left gets its shit together before Homo sapiens goes extinct.

My vote goes to either the USA or France. Especially because the Paris Commune already happened. “Smeagol did it once...he can do it again!” Paris seems to have been packed with rioters 24/7 for several years. Not so different maybe from the American Midwest. The ruling class is investing heavily in police in both countries. It’s afraid!

I know this seems partly delusional of me and that there is far more hope in the Global South unifying and then strangling the imperial core from the outside. But still, gun to your head, pick an imperial core country and explain how and why it will fall first. Marx, after all, predicted that socialism would come first to those places that had progressed along capitalist development the most. (Yes, you are invited to explain how wrong I am about this.) The USA falling to socialism would probably cause the rest of the planet to fall the same way.

edit: my choices seem embarrassing now, thank you for enlightening me comrades.

  • came_apart_at_Kmart [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    short of alien intervention, i don't see the US turning to socialism anything but dead last. emphasis on dead.

    this shithole would fragment into a confederation of regional polities, warring over the right of states to enslave, imprison, and kill climate refugees from the collapsed western states, and like the great lakes megaregion would nuke the mid-atlantic/piedmont about it, before the institutions would be disrupted enough to allow socialism in the door.

    by 2060, while like the EU is debating carbon capture targets and China is building a jump gate in low venus orbit, the debates of north america are going to be held in torch lit caves about things like "is it OK to eat the bodies of people who died from obvious signs of radiation sickness?" and "the moon is an evil god, y/n?" and what level of tolerance should be extended to the Disney Suicide Cult?