On the one hand, we're seeing the consent manufactury kick into overdrive and a lot of state department goblins seem to be absolutely itching for a fresh round of meddling. Cuba as a client state would open the door to all manner of renewed imperial nightmares in the carribean and South America.
On the other hand, it feels like most people's reception of the situation outside of dedicated chuds and Floridians (but I repeat myself) is muted, and I've already seen a few small anti-intervention protests pop up. After two decades of war, with a domestic civil society whose coherency is hanging by a thread and a global presence that is increasingly challenged, I feel like a flubbed regime change effort there would be the true beginning of the end for the U.S.' empire.
If this is a dumb-dumb take, please don't hesitate to tell me so.
That seems reasonable enough for the general overall idea, but I don't know if it's necessarily the Biden administration spearheading it, since there's kind of the expectation to continue Obama's thawing policy that Trump trampled on just for spite. Also despite the media pushing the narrative hard, the reality of the protests seems like they're quite small and not really indicative of a major shift in the Cuban public. So the media narrative itself seems to be the op above all else. Chapo's guest on the last episode floated the idea that it may be less of an attempt to manufacture consent for further aggression toward Cuba, and more about manufacturing dissent against trying to thaw relations once again like Obama.
Guess we'll see one way or another in the next couple years.