• aaro [they/them, she/her]
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    lets put it this way - in America, the CDC estimates 9.4 million – 41 million illnesses, 100,000 – 710,000 hospitalizations and 4,900 – 52,000 deaths annually between 2010 and 2022 for influenza. Assuming the highest possible case count and the lowest possible death count, we get the lowest case mortality rate at 4,900 deaths per 41 million cases, which is 0.012% mortality. That means that North Korea's mortality rate for COVID is over 7 times lower than America's most charitible estimated mortality rate for the flu. This just isn't possible.

    • kristina [she/her]
      ·
      1 year ago

      Could also be poor reporting, they don't have a very extensive system in North Korea. They have a similar issue as rural China does.

      • aaro [they/them, she/her]
        ·
        1 year ago

        It's possible, but that would have to mean they have the capability to report a case count of nearly 25% of their 26 million population, but also lack the infrastructure to report any more than a hundred deaths, which strikes me as very unlikely.