Permanently Deleted

  • Florn [they/them]
    ·
    edit-2
    3 years ago

    At the current rate, we probably won't hit a million by the end of the year (my prediction in January when we hit 500k). The vaccines were more effective than I thought they would be and the winter spike won't fully kick in until too late.

        • Florn [they/them]
          ·
          3 years ago

          Hitting the big M won't change anything policy-wise. The State has dug in its heels on the pandemic being over.

      • 420blazeit69 [he/him]
        ·
        3 years ago

        Yeah it'll be interesting, in a horrifying way, how far the numbers are quietly revised upward in the coming years.

    • footfaults [none/use name]
      ·
      3 years ago

      Yesterday, 1800 died, so maybe by next week, 750k total dead. Extrapolating that out, 6 months from now 1 million? We'll have to see if winter increases the daily death toll. Maybe around February?

      • Florn [they/them]
        ·
        3 years ago

        I did the math the other day, and we would need to be at roughly 2.8k every day and, as the video states, we're hovering at around 2k. I won't discount the possibility of hitting 3k daily (again) after Thanksgiving.

        • BigLadKarlLiebknecht [he/him, comrade/them]
          ·
          3 years ago

          Yeah, agreed, I don’t think Biden will unlock that achievement until next year. I think the holidays are going to cause a big ol’ bump in cases this year though, no one gives a shit at all anymore. At my hyper liberal company, despite the office being officially closed until February, people are going in to work in the office for meetings, unmasked. This includes a colleague who was recently off work sick with Covid for 2 weeks. Despite it not killing the vaccinated, it’s mind boggling that people are willing to risk getting that ill just to go to a fucking meeting when the entire company is supposed to be operating remotely.

          If an escape variant surfaces this winter (and I know that’s a big if, despite it being an inevitability on a long enough timescale), it’s going to absolutely rip through the population.

          • Florn [they/them]
            ·
            3 years ago

            If we compare where we are now to where we were this time last year, I don't think it's a stretch to say that we'll have more deaths this year than last year. Maybe 4k a day. 6k-8k if there's an escape variant. I'm not exactly an insider making predictions, just a doomer goin' with my gut.

            • BigLadKarlLiebknecht [he/him, comrade/them]
              ·
              3 years ago

              It’s quite something knowing this gonna be happening in certain places now, and not a universally experienced thing. Liberal centers returning to pre-pandemic life, yet with ongoing, ambient mass death elsewhere. In some ways, not unlike the imperial wars of the last 20 years, just within the imperial core. I feel like I’m gonna have to actually get around to reading some Baudrillard to try and make sense of it.