Image features Haitian Creole, meaning in English: "Let's Join Hands To Remove Haiti From The Boot Of Domination-Occupation!"


Welcome to the first news megathread of 2024! Last year saw rather little territorial movement in Ukraine (though shocking levels of attrition), and while BRICS has made some important moves, such as the upcoming expansion, there's no massive anti-imperialist offensive yet for us to really analyze. Instead, a lot of things have been going on behind the scenes, with the anti-hegemonic axis of China, Russia, Iran, and others forming a lot of bilateral currency deals as they distance themselves from the dollar. This all culminated in a rather boring year, or so I had thought until October 7th. The courage and heroism of the Gazan Resistance showed us that the imperialists truly are paper tigers, and Ansarallah demonstrated that American naval control is more illusory than the likes of John Bolton would like to admit.

This year will almost certainly be even more interesting and horrific. Debt across the developing world is at record levels, and the incoming hurricane that is the global recession not just on the horizon, but rapidly moving inland. Russia seems to once again be escalating in Ukraine with the return of large missile strikes, and the Zionist entity is failing to make much progress against Hamas, let alone Hezbollah, let alone Iran - instead vying for civilian bombings and propaganda campaigns (e.g. wedding proposals and drawing stars of David in Gaza to prove just how not mad and not owned they are, as their soldiers shit their pants due to insufficient military preparation and brigades are withdrawn due to the tremendous casualties they are experiencing). I'm sure there will be other sudden events that will occur this year. Here's my bingo grid:

Show

In the midst of all this, it's easy to forget the other underdog nation on the other side of the world from Palestine - Haiti. Since I last covered them, about half a year ago, the UN was on the verge of allowing a Kenyan police force to enter Haiti to "restore order", as the country is in a chaotic, perhaps potentially revolutionary situation. This has been described by various Haitian analysts and experts as essentially a US military force in blackface - white blows from a black hand - and Kenya's president, Ruto, has received a lot of aid from the US because of their willingness to step up, including a five year military deal. It took a while longer than I thought for the vote to occur, but on October 2nd, the UNSC allowed Kenya to do this (Russia and China abstained). However, the Kenyan Supreme Court needs to confirm that this is constitutional, and will give their verdict by January 26th. Many Kenyan lawyers and opposition leaders say that this is blatantly not constitutional, but given all the US aid on the line, breaking the constitution might be worth it to Ruto, whatever the backlash.

From the article from which much of the above information has been sourced:

But Washington now has its hands full with other problems. Its proxy war against Russia via Ukraine is going very badly, a fact that even the U.S. mainstream media is now forced to acknowledge. Meanwhile, the successful Oct. 7 uprising by Palestinian fighters against Israeli occupiers has apparently blindsided both the U.S. empire and its foremost client state. The entire Arab world and Global South are both horrified and outraged by Israel’s ever-growing war crimes, as over 20,000 Palestinians, half of them children, have been slaughtered and starved. Meanwhile, the dysfunction in Washington is deepening, Biden’s approval rating is plummeting, and the U.S. economy is lurching toward another crash.

All this means that Haiti may finally catch a break. The desperation in Haiti is very intense but so is the apprehension of and indignation against another foreign intervention. That resistance continues in the streets of Haiti and its diaspora.

Viva Haiti!


The weekly update is here on the website.

Your Tuesday briefing is here on the website and here in the comments.


The Country of the Week is Haiti! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • 1000mH [she/her, they/them]
    ·
    9 months ago

    Ocean cargo rates climb after new Red Sea ship attacks – Middle East Monitor

    Asia-to-North Europe rates more than doubled to above $4,000 per 40-foot container this week, with Asia-to-Mediterranean prices climbing to $5,175, according to Freightos, a booking and payments platform for international freight.

    Some carriers have announced rates above $6,000 per 40-foot container for Mediterranean shipments starting mid-month, and surcharges of $500 to as much as $2,700 per container could make all-in prices even higher, Judah Levine, Freightos’ head of research, said in an email.

    Rates for shipments from Asia to North America’s East Coast climbed 55 per cent to $3,900 per 40-foot container. West Coast prices jumped 63 per cent to more than $2,700 ahead of expected cargo diversions to avoid Red Sea-related issues, Levine said.

    While rates have spiked, they remain far below 2021’s pandemic-fuelled record highs of $14,000 per 40-foot container for Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean and $22,000 for Asia to North America’s East Coast.

    FACTBOX – Shipping firms react to Houthi attacks in the Red Sea – Middle East Monitor

    The Houthis in Yemen have stepped up attacks on vessels in the Red Sea to show their support for Palestinian group, Hamas, fighting Israel in Gaza, Reuters reports.

    The attacks impact a route vital to East-West trade, especially of oil, as ships access the Suez Canal via the Red Sea.

    In response, some shipping companies have instructed vessels to, instead, sail around southern Africa, a slower and, therefore, more expensive route.

    Below are actions take by companies (in alphabetical order):

    H. Robinson

    The global logistics group said on 22 December it had rerouted more than 25 vessels around the Cape of Good Hope over the past week, and that number would likely grow.

    “Blank sailings and rate increases are expected to continue across many trades into Q1 of 2024,” it added.

    CMA CGM

    The French shipping group is planning a gradual increase in the number of vessels transiting the Suez Canal, it said on 26 December. “This decision is based on an in-depth evaluation of the security landscape and our commitment to the security and safety of our seafarers,” CMA CGM said in a statement.

    The company had previously rerouted several vessels via the Cape of Good Hope.

    Euronav

    The Belgian oil tanker firm said, on 18 December, it would avoid the Red Sea until further notice.

    Evergreen

    The Taiwanese container shipping line said, on 18 December, its vessels on regional services to Red Sea ports would sail to safe waters nearby and wait for further notification, while ships scheduled to pass through the Red Sea would be rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope. It also temporarily stopped accepting Israeli cargo.

    Frontline

    The Norway-based oil tanker group said, on 18 December, that its vessels would avoid the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

    Gram Car Carriers

    The Norwegian company, which specialises in transporting vehicles, said on 21 December its vessels were restricted from passing through the Red Sea.

    Hapag-Lloyd

    The German container shipping line said, on 2 January, it had decided to continue to avoid the Red Sea, instead diverting vessels to the Cape of Good Hope, until at least 9 January when it would again assess the situation.

    A projectile believed to be a drone struck one of its vessels sailing close to the coast of Yemen on 15 December. No crew were injured.

    HMM 011200.KS

    The South Korean container shipper said, on 19 December, it had ordered its ships, which would normally use the Suez Canal, to reroute via the Cape of Good Hope.

    Hoegh Autoliners

    The Norwegian shipping company said on 20 December it would stop sailing via the Red Sea after the Norwegian Maritime Authority raised its alert for the southern part of the sea to the highest level.

    Klaveness Combination Carriers

    The Norway-based fleet operator said, on 28 December, it was unlikely to sail any of its vessels in the Red Sea, unless the situation improves.

    Maersk

    The Danish shipping group said on 31 December it was pausing all sailing through the Red Sea for 48 hours after Houthi militants attacked the Maersk Hangzhou container vessel.

    A 1 January advisory showed Maersk was to send more than 30 vessels through the Suez Canal in the coming days, while 17 other voyages were put on hold.

    The company was expected to update its plans on 2 January.

    MSC

    Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) said on 16 December its ships would not transit through the Suez Canal, with some already rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope, a day after two ballistic missiles were fired at one of its vessels.

    Ocean Network Express

    Ocean Network Express (ONE), a joint venture between Japan’s Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines and Nippon Yusen,  said on 19 December it would re-route vessels away from the Red Sea to the Cape of Good Hope or temporarily pause journeys and move to safe areas.

    OOCL

    The Hong Kong-headquartered container group said on 21 December it had instructed its vessels to either divert their route away from the Red Sea or suspend sailing. The company, owned by Orient Overseas (International) Ltd, has also stopped accepting cargo to and from Israel until further notice.

    Wallenius Wilhelmsen

    The Norwegian shipping group said on 19 December it would halt Red Sea transits until further notice. Rerouting vessels via the Cape of Good Hope will add 1-2 weeks to voyage durations, it said.

    Yang Ming Marine Transport

    The Taiwanese container shipping company said on 18 December it would divert ships sailing through the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden via the Cape of Good Hope for the next two weeks.

    Owned. ever-given

      • emizeko [they/them]
        ·
        edit-2
        9 months ago

        uhh Middle East Monitor, was linked immediately prior to the quoted section

        https://archive.is/tBz8B

    • carpoftruth [any, any]M
      ·
      9 months ago

      While rates have spiked, they remain far below 2021’s pandemic-fuelled record highs of $14,000 per 40-foot container for Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean and $22,000 for Asia to North America’s East Coast.

      This is important for context. That's still a long way from a time highs

      • Kaplya
        ·
        edit-2
        9 months ago

        It’s mostly just monopolists taking advantage of the situation to rake in huge sums of profit. We’ve seen similar happened during the oil price spike during the war in Ukraine in 2022.

        Arguably the only benefit you can say is that shipment to and from Israel could get stuck, but I think what’s going to happen is simply a longer delay in shipping until they fix the logistics. I don’t think Israel will suffer that much economically as long as the US is willing to finance it indefinitely.

        • CTHlurker [he/him]
          ·
          9 months ago

          Even if it is just monopolists taking advantage, it hurts the western economies just the same. Whether the price increase is caused by material factors such as the Ansarallah attacks or by opportunism, none of the governments in europe are going to be able to get it sorted out. If Mærsk decides to raise prices and claim it's because of the attacks, despite not being hit by any of the attacks, Denmark is not going to punish them as they are deemed too important to the danish economy (and are also way more politically connected than pretty much any other business in Denmark).

      • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
        hexagon
        M
        ·
        edit-2
        9 months ago

        this tracks with my previous assessment of: a significant event because it indicates that the US and friends are a mixture of unwilling and unable to defend major shipping routes despite their apparent naval power; not so much the economic impact it's having on Israel, though lots of minor compounding factors due to the chaos of the war and the fleeing Israeli settlers can have a major net effect.

        we'd need either Algeria to start hitting ships in the Alboran Sea, or Hezbollah to start hitting Israeli ports and incoming ships, for the blockade to be truly meaningful economically, but militarily, it's a pretty major development, especially if it escalates to war with Yemen