hexaflexagonbear [he/him] to Main • 4 years agoReally hoping that's not a Nate Silver predictionimagemessage-square20 fedilinkarrow-up167
arrow-up167imageReally hoping that's not a Nate Silver predictionhexaflexagonbear [he/him] to Main • 4 years agomessage-square20 Commentsfedilink
minus-squareslevin [none/use name]hexbear9·4 years agoNate Silver had the most accurate odds for the last presidential elections. Things with a 30% chance of happening happen all the time. link
minus-squareZuzak [fae/faer, she/her]hexbear2·4 years agoYeah, 30% just means you have to roll a 15 or better on a d20. I think the real error was underestimating his chances in the primary, because he expected the RNC to stop him. link
Nate Silver had the most accurate odds for the last presidential elections. Things with a 30% chance of happening happen all the time.
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Yeah, 30% just means you have to roll a 15 or better on a d20. I think the real error was underestimating his chances in the primary, because he expected the RNC to stop him.