• beardown@lemm.ee
    ·
    edit-2
    11 months ago

    Your dad is right that ~all of the anti-trump Republicans will coalesce around Haley.

    Your dad is wrong for not realizing that anti-Trump Republicans in 2024 are so weak that even that unanimous support will not prevent Haley from absolutely eating shit.

    It's like saying someone locked up the libertarian vote - that's nice, but you're insane if you think that's a meaningfully significant part of the electorate.

    Anti-Trump Republicans are, at most, 40% of the GOP Primary's voter base. Meaning, they are grossly insufficent to ever nominate an anti-trump candidate, as ~60% of the party want him as the nominee. Especially in the conservative early states of the primary, like Iowa and South Carolina

    I know you know all of that. But it's insane that anyone in this country could still be delusional about Trump's electoral power in 2024. This isn't 2015. Delusional that people still don't take him seriously, or that they think Trump is one Howard Dean-yelling scandal away from going away forever