we did it guys smoke em if u got em

    • ZZ_SloppyTop [he/him]
      ·
      edit-2
      3 years ago

      1 in 300 roughly

      Most people know more than 300 people. Statistically, almost everyone had someone they know as an acquaintance, co-worker, friend or relative die from COVID

        • buh [she/her]
          ·
          edit-2
          3 years ago

          *knew, now it's approximately 299

        • ZZ_SloppyTop [he/him]
          ·
          3 years ago

          Homie think about all the students in your classes you did a project with, all the randos at some party you hit it off with one night and forgot about, all the middle aged co-workers, all your friends parents growing up, teachers at your school. It adds up quicker than you realize, even for friendcels

            • ZZ_SloppyTop [he/him]
              ·
              3 years ago

              Uhhh… annoying uncles who married your dad’s sister. Social workers and doctors assigned to you. Grindr hookups. Idk. We meet way more people than we realize.

      • hexaflexagonbear [he/him]
        ·
        3 years ago

        If a person knows 300 people, and both deaths and the friend group are uniformly distributed (ofc a bad assumption), there would actually be a ~63% chance of knowing at least one person who died of covid. The probability of knowing at least one person that dies is 1-((n-1)/n)^n ( ((n-1)/n)^n being the probability that all n people do not die), since n is large it's roughly approximated by (e-1)/e, or 63%

        • ZZ_SloppyTop [he/him]
          ·
          3 years ago

          63% = almost everyone

          Talk in vague and qualified ways, rarely be wrong

    • hexaflexagonbear [he/him]
      ·
      3 years ago

      I'm pretty sure 0.3% is the death rate conservatives initially claimed was exaggerated and now we have to pretend is simply too small to care about :dean-smile: