I know this is an impossible question, the future is chaos, but we can at least identify and discuss some key factors.

When I say "successful leftist revolution" I mean one that happens soon enough to prevent, or have non-negligible odds of preventing, the collapse of human civilization as we know it due to climate change.

In all likelihood I think we're fucked as far as climate change is concerned, but we should still try to improve our odds. There's no prize for correctly predicting that we're fucked.

  • PurrLure [she/her]
    ·
    edit-2
    4 years ago

    The future is hell either way, so fuck it:

    If Biden wins the libs are going to pretend that everything is fine, including the cops and rising fascism. After all, their sanity depends on it.

    When we tell them things are still shit most of them will call us the problem and make us a scapegoat, which is already happening in real time. If Kamala eventually becomes president things will get even worse for leftists.

    If Trump wins fascism will obviously still rise, but single minded libs are more likely to notice and even care since they can put a face (Trump) they hate on it. However the fascism will be faster and more direct than under Democrats.

    A successful revolution? Well... I doubt that'll happen without other countries helping us, which could start a war or even a world war. Sorry.

    But if we're talking about the odds of just starting a revolution, then it'll be after a Trump win. The punishments will also be far harsher under his reign, especially if he doesn't follow term limits 4 years from now.

    As for climate change... yeah, we're fucked either way. You want to improve your odds with that, you'll need to start saving to move somewhere that might actually benefit from the first few waves of climate change way north of the equator.

    • cro [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      I don't think trump is going to go for the reelection after his two terms. He will choose a succesor, with whom he will campaign extensively, and it will become a party dictatorship, similar to what happened with PRI in mexico, where the election norms are observed only in name. This will let libs keep on with their life because "democracy" isn't under threat, so the GOP sponsors can continue to run the country from their country clubs.

      • PurrLure [she/her]
        ·
        4 years ago

        That does sound way more practical. Plus his successor would probably end up being one of his kids. Cool monarchy shit.

    • cadence [they/them,she/her]
      ·
      4 years ago

      if anything bad happens the liberals will blame it on the republicans controlling the house or the senate or whatever the fuck happens in your shitty ass political system