I know this is an impossible question, the future is chaos, but we can at least identify and discuss some key factors.

When I say "successful leftist revolution" I mean one that happens soon enough to prevent, or have non-negligible odds of preventing, the collapse of human civilization as we know it due to climate change.

In all likelihood I think we're fucked as far as climate change is concerned, but we should still try to improve our odds. There's no prize for correctly predicting that we're fucked.

    • Phish [he/him, any]
      ·
      4 years ago

      So if Biden is more accelerationist because Obama led to Trump, do you think Biden will lead to something even worse than Trump? Like a straight up Q president maybe? I could see that...

      If Biden wins though, I'm not sure it will be better or worse for the left. They aren't going to let a soc Dem challenge them either way, but if Biden wins they won't have to worry about it for a while. I guess in that scenario a 2024 Dem primary isn't out of the question though so maybe I'm wrong.

      • marxisthayaca [he/him,they/them]M
        ·
        4 years ago

        every action causes a reaction. And the conservative backlash to Obama has been this increase in White Supremacist and total dismantling of civil rights legislation, including the rights to vote by Black people. If Biden wins, whether the coalition is white and Black, or young and old. Prepare for the reactionary backlash to be full-blown calls for genocide of democrats.

        I think we are basically between a rock and a hard place. Neither candidate is ideal. But I can see Trump continuing to receive mounting and increase hostility from most of America and bringing a balkanization or yoke tightening so violent it leads to a backlash of resistance.

    • duderium [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      Preaching to the choir. After our long entmoot we have decided that both Trump and Biden are bad and that pretty much whatever happens will be bad.