I know this is an impossible question, the future is chaos, but we can at least identify and discuss some key factors.

When I say "successful leftist revolution" I mean one that happens soon enough to prevent, or have non-negligible odds of preventing, the collapse of human civilization as we know it due to climate change.

In all likelihood I think we're fucked as far as climate change is concerned, but we should still try to improve our odds. There's no prize for correctly predicting that we're fucked.

      • jack [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        edit-2
        4 years ago

        Did Japan win? As far as I remember, they lost WWII and got kicked the fuck out of the rest of Asia. And they were acting in those countries as an imperial power. Repelling a foreign empire is completely different from electing homegrown fascists. Which is my point. Nowhere did fascists gaining power advance a revolution in the same country (or at least if it has happened it's very rare for it work out that way; like I said, I don't really know much about Nicaragua's situation).