We know that Mitch McConnell floated the idea of a nationwide abortion ban shortly after the leak happened.

We know that with Roe v Wade about to be gone, the Republicans will move forward with implementing a nationwide abortion ban the next time they have enough power consolidated to do it (i.e. a trifecta, where they control the House, Senate, and Presidency).

We know that Republicans are very well positioned in the 2022 midterms, and currently the projections are that they will regain both the House and Senate.

We know that Republicans are opposed to democracy and have no problem with disregarding election results that don't favor them. Assuming that they control the Senate and House in 2024, we can count on them doing this with any 2024 presidential election result that shows a Democratic victory.

So here's the most likely (basically guaranteed in my opinion) timeline we're looking at: the GOP takes the House and Senate in 2022, they steal the presidency in 2024 (assuming they don't just win outright), and then they ban abortion nationwide in 2025 or 2026.

Am I missing anything? Is there any compelling reason to believe that this won't happen?

  • HauntedBySpectacle [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    The federal government could at any time choose to enforce federal marijuana law and go into legal states and shut shit down, there's just been a precedent to not do that, but they've openly considered breaking it. Jeff Sessions as AG under Trump said he wanted to. When the right thinks abortion should be treated as literal murder, I think they'd be more than willing to enforce their new federal ban on the states. States rights are a complete smokescreen anyway, and always have been; they argue for them when it serves their goals and ignore them when it doesn't.

    • eduardog3000 [he/him]
      ·
      3 years ago

      When the right thinks abortion should be treated as literal murder, I think they’d be more than willing to enforce their new federal ban on the states.

      It would be nice if a state would just say "fuck you, no" and set up the national guard (and refuse federalization) to protect people and clinics. That could be the proper beginning of America's collapse, or cause the federal government to get more cautious to avoid said collapse, which means not enforcing the ban in those states.

      Too bad the libs in pro-abortion states are too spineless to do anything like that.