Many people are saying it folks: 4 degrees of warming by the end of the century (even as soon as 2070s) is a real possibility. How much longer do you think the :lmayo: countries in the north can hang on under these conditions?

  • john_browns_beard [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    edit-2
    2 years ago

    I think collapse will come from some other disaster, most likely a Carrington Event-level solar flare, and climate change will play a huge impact in slowing society from recovering. Even one with half the intensity will cause mass chaos, and with our terrible power grids and just-in-time manufacturing of essential replacement parts, it could knock power out to large swaths of the world for months.

    Also on the short list would be a large volcanic eruption creating a volcanic winter for a couple of years.

    • bort_simp_son [she/her]
      ·
      2 years ago

      One of the scariest things I've ever seen depicted in a movie is in Bladerunner 2064 where a solar flare has already fried all the electronics on earth - everything from financial records to digital photo albums all gone - but neoliberalism lurches onward regardless.

          • InsideOutsideCatside [they/them]
            ·
            2 years ago

            I thought they were talking about the movie but I guess that's BR 2049, and but there'll be a TV series set in 2099? Now I don't know if this solar flare even happened or if it's just bort's fever dream

            • emizeko [they/them]
              ·
              edit-2
              2 years ago

              I think she was just fucking around while referring to BR 2049. there is definitely a plot point in the movie about a big blackout that wiped out records, but it is not explicitly named as a Carrington Event

    • D61 [any]
      ·
      2 years ago

      "Fire or freeze, that's the best we can do for ya."

    • InsideOutsideCatside [they/them]
      ·
      2 years ago

      most likely a Carrington Event-level solar flare

      Good news everyone, it might happen as early as 2025 https://wired.me/science/sun-solar-storm-2025-impact-on-earth/

      Article says 2-3 percent chance of such ahhh event in the 2020s, and that it'd cause enough damage to take maybe a decade to fix

      • john_browns_beard [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        2 years ago

        Essentially every decade will have a 2-3 percent chance of this happening, as the sun's activity runs on an 11 year cycle. This is going to happen eventually, and we are completely unprepared for it, as evidenced by how long the grid goes down for even when there are localized issues.

        • InsideOutsideCatside [they/them]
          ·
          2 years ago

          Yeah it's on the list of things that keep me abusing substances to avoid thinking about. I really don't know how civilization would survive when all the machines we need to fix everything get fucked at the same time