You're not going to be doing a material analysis of the likelihood of transition to socialism anywhere because you're not going to be able to predict it but these aspects of the situation and more indicate that it is not out of the realm of possibility and it's on you to argue which countries are more likely to make sucha transition. I would say that pressure resulting from reliance on China + these factors make it more likely than literally anywhere in the western world, so :shrug-outta-hecks:
gosh I can't imagine why a socialist superpower would ever pressure anyone to also adopt socialist tendencies especially after the decline of U.S. hegemony
why do I need to write out some nerd essay on this
But tbf here, the CPC has been explicit in not being interested in pressuring and exporting socialism, banking on them changing course on that after some arbitrary point of declining US hegemony is basically a guess.
Tbf though I shouldn't have to write an essay about what is indeed a guess when Other User has yet to argue what countries would be more likely to go socialist than one where the communist party still gets, what, a third of the fucking vote with explicit nostalgia for the communist period :shrug-outta-hecks:
You're not going to be doing a material analysis of the likelihood of transition to socialism anywhere because you're not going to be able to predict it but these aspects of the situation and more indicate that it is not out of the realm of possibility and it's on you to argue which countries are more likely to make sucha transition. I would say that pressure resulting from reliance on China + these factors make it more likely than literally anywhere in the western world, so :shrug-outta-hecks:
but like why does a reliance on China factor in at all in terms of it ?
reliance on the world's only socialist superpower being a factor in future socialism? Idk can't imagine why
but like why tho, other than hand waving
I would appreciate an answer if you have the time, I would like to understand why you think this
gosh I can't imagine why a socialist superpower would ever pressure anyone to also adopt socialist tendencies especially after the decline of U.S. hegemony
why do I need to write out some nerd essay on this
But tbf here, the CPC has been explicit in not being interested in pressuring and exporting socialism, banking on them changing course on that after some arbitrary point of declining US hegemony is basically a guess.
Tbf though I shouldn't have to write an essay about what is indeed a guess when Other User has yet to argue what countries would be more likely to go socialist than one where the communist party still gets, what, a third of the fucking vote with explicit nostalgia for the communist period :shrug-outta-hecks:
the answer is I don't, I'm going to sleep
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The capitalists are afraid it's already happening. Look at the meds hand wringing about the global south applying the "Chinese model".
It should be easy to explain if it's so obvious so idk why it would need to be an essay