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  • KiaKaha [he/him]
    ·
    edit-2
    2 years ago

    Doing napkin math without looking at others’ answers:

    62% of people vote. Of the 38% who don’t, I’ll put 33% in the apathetic ‘go along’ basket of 3. I’ll give an overestimation for ardent anarchists who refuse to vote, or people in prison, or kids, for a charitable 5% in basket 4.

    Approx half of the 62%, being 30%, vote GOP. Let’s say, charitably, that only a fifth of them are actually fash, putting a total 6% in basket 1. The remaining 24% are in basket 2.

    The 32% who vote Dem are where it gets hard. I’ll say a sixth of them, 5%, will actually fight in basket 4. The remaining 27% go in basket 3.

    That gives us a total of:

    Basket 1: 6%

    Basket 2: 24%

    Basket 3: 60%

    Basket 4: 10%

    Meaning we have 6% who want to do it, 24% who will help them, 60% who will look on, and 10% who will push back.

    Edit; pretty close to OP’s. Slightly less optimistic, even.