September 12th's update is here! TLDR? Here's the summary.
September 13th's update is here! TLDR? Here's the summary.
September 14th's update is here! TLDR? Here's the summary.
No updates on Thursdays.
September 16th's mini-update is here, because western journalists are bad at their jobs. Here's the in-thread comment.
Today and tomorrow I'm gonna be doing some prep as I'm moving in a few weeks. The updates will continue as planned on Monday.
:Care-Comrade: to you all.
Links and Stuff
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists, for the “buh Zeleski is a jew?!?!” people.
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map, who is an independent youtuber with a mostly neutral viewpoint.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict and, unlike most western analysts, has some degree of understanding on how war works. He is a reactionary, however.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.
https://t.me/asbmil ~ ASB Military News, banned from Twitter.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster - crowd-funded U.S journalist, mostly pro-Russian, works on the ground near warzones to report news and talk to locals.
https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.
https://t.me/rybar ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
With the entire western media sphere being overwhelming pro-Ukraine already, you shouldn't really need more, but:
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
https://t.me/asbmil/5146
Security clause invoked, Russia now has another front. Hope China will help out if Russia gets stretched too thin.
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Armenia is not the problem here. The Watermelon Seller makes his move.
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Nah I’m not expert on the specifics of this conflict, but I do know Azerbaijan is Turkey Jr. and rarely acts without Istanbul’s leave. I’m just speculating here.
If Turkey has authorized an invasion of Armenia, that’s a serious change in their foreign policy throughout the Ukrainian conflict. They have been careful to play both sides, profit off of everyone. If they unleashed their Azeri hounds then that’s going to open up a second front for Russia, they are obligated to defend Armenia, and they aren’t going to like that. Russian and Turkish relations are going to sour majorly if this doesn’t resolve immediately.
That is, unless the Azeris have broken off the leash and are acting independently. We will see if that’s the case by how Turkey reacts. If Turkey curtails them and disciplines them, we will know they still want to work with Russia. If Turkey pretends like they can’t do anything and provides cover, then they have moved into NATO sphere completely (which was inevitable really since they are in NATO after all).
Chances of DPRK hopping in?
To Armenia? Very slight.
Iran is the more likely contender. Iran and Russia have been very friendly lately, and Armenia is friendly with both as well. Armenia is the land bridge connecting Iran to Russia and Europe. Iran has made it clear they will not allow Azeris to annex so much of Armenia that they cut this land bridge.
However, Iran has never to my memory done overt military action except in defense against Iraqi invasions under Saddam. They almost always seem to be using a massive network of covert insurgents and militia proxies. Not sure how they could get involved directly here.
The CSTO that Armenia is invoking includes other nations as well but no major militaries. Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan would all be obligated to join a coalition presumably.