This isn't an unreasonable take, but I think the "Trump is too incompetent to do imperialism" theory is overplayed. We did come within hours of war with Iran, for instance.

Plus, I doubt the process on Venezuela was the MIC coming to Trump with a plan and Trump fucking it all up and only sending a few chuds on a speedboat. If anything I can see Trump being more amenable to long-shot, Looney Tunes stuff like that because why not, he can spin some minor fallout.