Apparently there are now discussions over whether to send the F-16 as well as tanks!

This sounds like an even worse idea to me, and it probably isn't going to happen for a while even if they agree to send them, but regardless - the war has reached the point where such discussions are seriously occurring.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.

January 30th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

January 31st's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

February 1st's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

February 3rd's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

Sorry, no update today, Xi Jinping has put me inside this giant balloon. Apparently we're testing a new kind of mass surveillance + mind control technology to turn everybody into communists? Not sure where I am right now but I heard aircraft going by yesterday. I'll be back on solid ground by Monday.

Links and Stuff

Want to contribute?

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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can, thank you.


Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)

Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are fairly brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. The Duran, of which he co-hosts, is where the chuddery really begins to spill out.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.

https://t.me/asbmil ~ Now rebranded as Battlefield Insights, they do infrequent posts on the conflict.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of the really big pro-Russian (except when they're being pessismistic, which is often) telegram channels focussing on the war. Russian language.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Any Western media outlet that is even vaguely liberal (and quite a few conservative ones too).

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • notceps [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    Because I'm a glutton for embarrassing myself I'll say that they probably won't send F-16s and that it's some guys that haven't gotten the memo what it is that the us actually wants from this conflict. This seems like when journalists and some politicians called for a no-fly zone and then a month later for a no-sea zone. It's far more likely that the US will send all kinds of missile systems.

      • notceps [he/him]
        ·
        2 years ago

        The thing about the F-16 is that it is the good shit compared to the F-35. But also I keep going between 'the US gov knows what it is doing' to 'the US gov is more concerned with looking tough than doing what's smart' like they are willing sink america to own the republican libs, which is just weird.

          • notceps [he/him]
            ·
            2 years ago

            The F-16 is a system that was designed 40 years ago but that doesn't mean that there were no 'upgrades' done to it over that same time frame. Also I'm not saying that the F-16 can go toe to toe with an SU-57 what I am saying is that it is a better piece of weaponry than the F-35 because it is just straight up ten times more reliable than the F-35 and the US knows that and if it becomes more clear for other nations no one is going to go for their new overpriced toy.

        • mkultrawide [any]
          ·
          edit-2
          2 years ago

          If a bunch of F-16s get destroyed, the US can tell everyone "See, this is why you need to buy the F-35." They will say something to the effect of that they couldn't trust the UAF with the F-35 because their pilots aren't good enough/trained well enough or that the UAF is potentially too compromised with Russian spies.

        • 420stalin69
          ·
          2 years ago

          Name a war since WW2 where the US had an exit strategy?

          • notceps [he/him]
            ·
            2 years ago

            That didn't stop the US from becoming the Hegemon, that's what I actually mean the US built up this elaborate network of organisations and economic tools to maintain their position that it now seemingly is tearing down the biggest one under severe threat right now is US dollar hegemony, but also it seems like their grasp over the periphery is going to go away incredibly soon, south america is slowly going away, the deindustrialization of europe is going to weaken the US' position in africa because france is not going to enforce neo-colonialism when they don't have any use for resources.

            My worry is that the US is not going to go the way of the British Hegemon and are just going to wreck everything on their way out. Because that's all I can see at the moment.

      • FortifiedAttack [any]
        ·
        2 years ago

        I mean technically speaking, they still aren't. They're drawing it out by so much that everyone is just gonna forget they promised to do so in the first place.