Civil war and balkanization remain a pipe dream as long as the bourgeois elements that might lead a faction in any such conflict remain insulated from the dangers of any policy or societal change spurred by other bourgeois classes. You will never have, say, a democrat governor call for secession, peacefully or otherwise, from the union because they wil not feel the negative effects of remaining in such a union. The civil war happened because of an almost impossible to predict coincidence of two conflicting bourgeois systems that threatened each others' existence.
A popular front taking power in its own hand and causing a forcible split seems almost more likely at this point, not one imposed by a moderating force of capitalists.
Never understimate the bourgeoise's capacity for collaboration and collusion whilst staring into the deepest depths of genocide and literal chattel slavery. That it was not immediately abolished upon the formation of the American Republic speaks to this, as the budding rise of industrial capitalism had no issue reaping the spoils of slavery.
Likewise, bourgeois states have collaborated with fascists, war criminals, and absolute theocratic monarchies, and continue to do so to this day.
Conflicts of the modern age are conflicts of the bourgeoise. They more often than not collaborate, doubly so if it threatens bourgeois hegemony.
Civil war and balkanization remain a pipe dream as long as the bourgeois elements that might lead a faction in any such conflict remain insulated from the dangers of any policy or societal change spurred by other bourgeois classes. You will never have, say, a democrat governor call for secession, peacefully or otherwise, from the union because they wil not feel the negative effects of remaining in such a union. The civil war happened because of an almost impossible to predict coincidence of two conflicting bourgeois systems that threatened each others' existence.
A popular front taking power in its own hand and causing a forcible split seems almost more likely at this point, not one imposed by a moderating force of capitalists.
lol no one could have predicted it!!!
Never understimate the bourgeoise's capacity for collaboration and collusion whilst staring into the deepest depths of genocide and literal chattel slavery. That it was not immediately abolished upon the formation of the American Republic speaks to this, as the budding rise of industrial capitalism had no issue reaping the spoils of slavery.
Likewise, bourgeois states have collaborated with fascists, war criminals, and absolute theocratic monarchies, and continue to do so to this day. Conflicts of the modern age are conflicts of the bourgeoise. They more often than not collaborate, doubly so if it threatens bourgeois hegemony.