Cyclone Freddy has been a record-breaking and disturbing storm.
After first forming on the 4th of February, it moved across the entirety of the southern Indian Ocean, only one of four cyclones to have ever done so; the others were in 1994 and 2000.
It made landfall in Madagascar, weakening overland, but survived, hitting the Mozambique Channel, the body of water separating Madagascar from Africa, allowing it to once again intensify. It then struck Mozambique and weakened once again - but again survived. On March 1st, it emerged back over the Channel and struck Mozambique a second time on March 11th.
It has broken the record for the longest lived tropical cyclone on record - the last one being 31 days long in 1994. It has had the highest accumulated cyclone energy of any tropical cyclone, the last one being in 2006. It is the first cyclone to have undergone seven separate rounds of rapid intensification - anything more than three times in a storm's life is considered exceptional.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.
March 13th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
March 14th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
March 15th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
March 17th's update is here in the comments.
Links and Stuff
American anti-war rally on March 18th by left groups!
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have decent analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the warzone.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist (but still quite reactionary in terms of gender and sexuality and race, so beware). If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Another big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia's army.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
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Yh Poland, like the Baltics and Czechoslovakia, from what I recall, had less violent transitions into capitalism than Russia or Ukraine.
People forget (which is convenient because it refutes the idea that the USSR was an empire) that the Russian soviet republic actually had a bunch of asymetric disadvantages relative to the others. It didn't have its own communist party, or republican academy of sciences, diplomatic services or its own KGB. The others all did. This added to the governmental instability Russia suffered compared to other ex republics.
If I remember correctly there are also arguments that as the Poles joined the commie bloc later, there remained more institutional memory of capitalism, which made the transition easier. I'm not too sure if I'm convinced by this and would appreciate input from eastern european comrades more informed on this point than me. Apparently agriculture under socialist Poland had also remained mostly in private hands, but would have to check this so again, someone please correct me before I check if I'm mistaken.
I think also Poland just had less to deal - like what to do with breakaway areas like Chechnya, its nuclear weapons, and how to demilitarize - and was seen as less of a continued great power threat to the west. The west, through the IMF and so on, did give Russia massive bailouts during its 90s collapse, but these were pretty immediately hoovered up by the oligarchs corruption, rather than invested productively, from what I understand;
Didn't Jeff Sachs also work on the big book of privitation that was implemented in Bolivia during it's dictatorship years in the 1980s and 1990s? Specifically, the part about some sort of privatisation of Bolivias water. I'm like 90% sure that I've heard Jeff Sachs get brought up by Naomi Klein in The Shock Doctrine.
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