Best timeline, counteroffensive is a spectacular failure. Germany and maybe France reach sufficient internal support to seek rapprochement with Russia. All the countries that recently joined NATO have to double-down or be really fucking embarassed. Germany and maybe France start to distance themselves from NATO to continue rapprochement with Russia. Further decrease in the reach of the NATO-imperial apparatus.
OR worst timeline, we get a Polish YOLO....
That’s grim for the Ukrainians if they’re comparing them to the Afghanis . That would mean we could be only months at the most from total collapse of the Ukrainian state.
Ukraine is more stable than Afghanistan was. Ukraine has an actual base of support the old Afghan government barely existed outside of the capital city
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