Image is of Russian mercenary Frodonov Bagginsky, standing in the ruins of Bakhmut after the battle concluded.
After nearly a year of intense fighting for the town of Bakhmut, Russian forces have finally reached full control.
While tens of thousands of lives have ended in the area in and around Bakhmut, perhaps almost as interesting as the battle itself has been the war of narratives over it. The state propagandists in the West have spent a lot of effort muddying the waters about the battle for the city, to the extent that the two sides now live in effectively separate realities.
If you are pro-Ukraine, the reality you observe is that this was an excellent maneuver by the Ukrainians - as the Russians send in their troops in human wave attacks armed only with shovels, you have achieved a 1:7 casualty ratio in your favor. You have fundamentally weakened the Russian army because, for some inscrutable reason, they have decided to attack one of the strongest parts of your front line - this reveals the inherent stupidity of the Ruskies. Let them have the city for all you care - it has zero importance and you will soon recapture it. You are, in fact, one step closer to winning the war - far from losing it.
If you are pro-Russian, the reality you observe is that this was an excellent maneuver by the Russians. By utilizing your massive artillery advantage over the enemy side, sometimes achieving over ten times the number of shells fired on any given day, you can easily attrit enemy forces and you have done so, achieving a 1:7 casualty ratio in your favor. As Bakhmut is a central city in the fortification line, Ukraine has no choice but to defend it with all their strength, which allowed you to create a cauldron which has been the death of tens of thousands of troops, at the expense of only mercenaries. The logistical links that capturing the city has both created for you and severed for the enemy will make future campaigns easier, and you are now capable of advancing into territory that hasn't spent the last eight years being fortified by all NATO has to offer. You are, in fact, one step closer to winning the war - far from losing it.
While I would love to be a very smart enlightened centrist and go "Well, both sides have a point here..." all evidence I can discern points to the Russian position and away from the Ukrainian one. When Zelensky went to the US and spoke before Congress earlier this year, he said:
To ensure Bakhmut is not just a stronghold that holds back the Russian Army, but for the Russian Army to completely pull out, more cannons and shells are needed. If so, just like the Battle of Saratoga, the fight for Bakhmut will change the trajectory of our war for independence and for freedom.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.
This week's first update is here in the comments.
This week's second update is here in the comments.
This week's third update is here in the comments.
Links and Stuff
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have decent analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the warzone.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist (but still quite reactionary in terms of gender and sexuality and race, so beware). If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Another big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia's army.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
A quick explanation of the recent Ukrainian "offensive" (that happened mostly on twitter and telegram); it also explains why Zaluzhny suddenly disappeared from all the media exactly at that time:
"RIA News:
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny suffered a head injury and shrapnel wounds as a result of a Russian missile attack on a command post near Kherson in early May. Zaluzhny underwent a craniotomy after being wounded - according to forecasts, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will live, but will not be able to do his job." source in Russian https://t.me/diplomatia/7771
Edit: "Prigozhin's big interview following the results of the Battle of Artemovsk. Interestingly he declares that the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are 50 000 irretrievable(dead). They practically coincide with the calculations of the War Tears project, which, according to its methodology, gave 55 000 losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, based on the calculation of the established losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine units noted in Artemovsk and regional obituaries.
Wagner losses amounted to 20% of the total killed and up to 20% of the wounded. At its peak, the number of Wagner PMCs reached, according to Prigozhin, up to 50,000 people.
The enemy grouping defending Artemovsk totaled up to 82 thousand people. (which coincides with our and Ukrainian estimates that estimated the grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Artemovsk area at 75-85 thousand people."
source in Russian https://t.me/boris_rozhin/86740
Interesting.... didn't earlier info say Zaluzhny was injured during a strike on Pavlograd? I'm not sure what to believe on this..
It started weeks ago, first speculations of his sudden disappearance, then clumsy official attempts to cover it by this or that excuse, then recent 'leaks' (a random Ukrainian nurse on telegram) about some very very VIP patient in coma and finally in last 2-3 days there is loads of sources, including a couple major ones, saying directly what is written in my previous.
TLDR I ignored the rumors for quite some time, but now I basiclly just wait for confirmation.
Didn't he address some kind of event through a video link a few days ago?
The other day I heard Frank Sinatra sing Get Low by Lil John.
Also maybe he can still read and speak but cant really do much thinking.
Oh absolutely, weeks after the incident and with best care available I guess (?) he Is able to talk - OFC unless it is another "new" old video so typical of ukie propaganda.