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The system of ocean currents that regulates the climate for a swath of the planet could collapse sooner than expected, a new analysis found.

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They then used the mathematical properties of a tipping-point-like system to extrapolate from these trends. That led them to predict that the Atlantic circulation could collapse around midcentury, though it could potentially occur as soon as 2025 and as late as 2095.

    • a_blanqui_slate [none/use name, any]
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      edit-2
      1 year ago

      I mean it's a 95% confidence interval, which was one of their big additions to the literature; as opposed to previous research saying "it'll be after the 21st century", they came up with an interval estimate of between 2025-2095 with 95% confidence. The actually technical phrasing of a confidence interval is way more obnoxious.