• kristina [she/her]
      hexagon
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      1
      ·
      4 years ago

      neither. azerbaijan is led by right wing conservatives and armenia is led by neoliberals. since the two neoliberal faces are fighting each other, this could lead to a socialist uprising, as that is not uncommon in the face of war and invasion in smaller powers such as these

      • thelasthoxhaist [he/him]
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        edit-2
        4 years ago

        does russia supports armenia?, i know turkey supports azerbaijan, if is yes then this could turn into a proxy war between russia and turkey

        • kristina [she/her]
          hexagon
          ·
          4 years ago

          i would assume so. neither country has any left party, even the social democrats have been barred from government in both countries

        • Bread_In_Baltimore [he/him]
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          edit-2
          4 years ago

          I believe they do. This definitely seems like a proxy war. Let's just hope that the US doesn't try to get involved. Also according to liveuamap Russian air force planes have landed in Yerevan.

          • Funicio [he/him]
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            4 years ago

            Let’s just hope that the US doesn’t try to get involved.

            :capitalist:

            • Bread_In_Baltimore [he/him]
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              4 years ago

              I mean, Baku is oil rich and kind if friendly with Iran. The US would love to set up base there

    • kilternkafuffle [any]
      ·
      4 years ago

      Armenians are cool with the status quo (i.e. the Armenian-populated part within the legal borders of Azerbaijan remains Armenian-held), Azerbaijan is the one that wants conflict. So Azerbaijan is the aggressor and Armenia the victim (though both did massacres/ethnic cleansing against each other in the past).

      However, Azerbaijan is bigger and stronger and wants its legal territory back. So the likely outcome is Azerbaijan gets it all back after a lot of bloody fighting - unless there's international pressure for the conflict to end or Armenia can pull off another upset victory.

      In terms of leftist politics, there's no winners here. It's ethnic strife and unless the Red Army comes back through a time machine no one is interested in stopping it, external powers only see profit in the war.